New Wallet "Roeyha2026" Gains $96.8K on Iran Strike Prediction Bet

"Gambling is not investing": U.S. lawmakers form an alliance to pressure prediction markets, regulatory disputes over platforms like Polymarket escalate

The prediction market industry in the United States faces political and regulatory pressures. An alliance led by Congressman Mick Mulvaney is calling for increased enforcement, restricting market expansion, and emphasizing that it is essentially gambling that must comply with relevant laws. Meanwhile, some lawmakers are pushing for stricter regulations, especially targeting certain controversial prediction events. The prediction market industry is actively countering, arguing that current regulations should be overseen by the CFTC, and that the industry is still growing rapidly, exploring new product models to expand market influence.

WAR (WAR) 24-hour increase of 51.50%

Gate News Bot Message, March 3rd, according to CoinMarketCap data, as of press time, WAR (WAR) is currently trading at $0.03, up 51.50% in the past 24 hours, with a high of $0.03 and a low of $0.01. The 24-hour trading volume reached $17.7 million. The current market capitalization is approximately $28.1 million, an increase of about $9.54 million from yesterday. ### WAR recent important news: 1️⃣ **Geopolitical Tensions Rise, Driving Predictive Trading Activity** The conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel continues to escalate, sparking global market concern over geopolitical risks. This event has triggered widespread predictive trading activity in the crypto derivatives market, with investors hedging their portfolios by betting on related risk events. Such event-driven trading activities often lead to increased volatility in the related cryptocurrencies.

PA Data: Polymarket's Hassan I盘口 with over 500 profit addresses is actually controlled by a very small number of entities

PANews reports that analysis shows that over 500 suspicious addresses profiting from the Polymarket Khamenei market are actually controlled by a few entities. These addresses collaboratively operate across multiple markets to hide fund flows and evade risk controls, with the top 15 suspicious addresses generating a total profit of $900,000.

How to systematically track high-win-rate addresses on Polymarket?

An address on Polymarket achieved a 12.6x return, demonstrating an early positioning phenomenon before market fluctuations. The article discusses how to identify wallets with informational advantages, including observing trading behavior, position structure, timing choices, and market focus, and proposes systematic methods to screen for potential "insider addresses." The key lies in uncovering the true informational value of on-chain transaction data and validating it with external information.

Analysis: BSC prediction market suffers a major blow, with daily trading volume and open interest significantly declining

The BSC prediction market has recently suffered a heavy blow, with daily trading volume dropping from over $94 million to $38.3 million, and net outflows of over $94.6 million in holdings. The total holdings have decreased to $57 million, with Opinion accounting for 70% of the share.

Gate Daily (March 3): MicroStrategy buys 3,015 Bitcoins on dips; Nasdaq enters prediction market

Bitcoin has recently rebounded strongly, reaching $68,990, with MicroStrategy increasing its Bitcoin holdings to over 720,000 coins. Nasdaq plans to launch binary options contracts to enter the prediction market. Additionally, the market is affected by tensions between the US and Iran, with investor sentiment leaning towards caution. Future data, including economic indicators from the Eurozone and the United States, will become the focus of attention.