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Old Bao finally told the truth, admitting that the Federal Reserve has no real solution for supply-driven inflation. The market immediately exploded, and traders quickly started pricing in rate cuts, causing Treasury yields to surge.
This level of scapegoating deserves a perfect score. Not long ago, they were full of hawkish confidence, and now just one sentence—"can't control supply"—has set the stage for rate cuts.
With this macro shift, Treasury yields are falling, and the liquidity faucet is no longer as tight.
The opportunity for risk assets to breathe has arrived. Although Bitcoin
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#BTC will experience its final drop to $42,000-$44,000 within 59 days. This bullish trap is about to end, and Bitcoin will complete its last dip before a new cycle begins. Please adjust your positions accordingly.
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#BTC Currently, Powell's speech at Harvard indicated that there is no urgent need to address energy shocks for now, with interest rates remaining "neutral to slightly tight." Meanwhile, the Middle East situation is easing (the U.S. has announced a pause in military operations), and these dual signals have boosted market risk appetite.
Bitcoin rebounded from a low of $64,930.8 to $68,316.7, breaking above the EMA lines on the 4-hour chart, with a MACD golden cross, indicating short-term bullish momentum recovery. However, the US dollar index remains high, and combined with inflation and geopo
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# If Powell signals a dovish stance (such as hinting at a faster pace of rate cuts), it will boost risk asset appetite, weaken the US dollar, and BTC is expected to break through the current $67,558 level, rebounding above $70,000; if his remarks lean hawkish, then the dollar and US Treasury yields will rise, suppressing cryptocurrencies, and BTC may once again test the $65,000 support level.
Currently, the 4-hour BTC chart shows the price stabilizing above the EMA moving averages, with a MACD golden cross, indicating a short-term bullish bias. However, speeches will become a key variable, a
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The escalation of geopolitical conflicts between the US and Iran has significantly increased market risk aversion, with funds flowing into safe-haven assets. As digital gold, BTC is supported by short-term safe-haven buying, and its price stabilizes near 67,000 USDT before rebounding.
From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows a MACD golden cross, and the price has broken above the short-term moving averages, indicating rebound momentum; however, the super trend line still suppresses the price, with 68,500 USDT above being a key resistance level.
Caution is advised for profit-taking
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According to the evening update at 10:20, the current BTC price is approximately 66,782 USDT, up slightly by 1.04% over the past 24 hours, retreating from the high to a stage low. Technically, the 4-hour EMA moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and the MACD indicator remains in negative territory, indicating a short-term weak trend; the super trend line still suppresses the price, and market sentiment is cautious.
Fundamentally, the overall cryptocurrency market volatility has increased, and attention should be paid to macro interest rates and capital flows. In the short term, the mar
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#BTC in recent years first surged to a historic high of $126,000 in October 2025, then sharply corrected due to Federal Reserve rate hikes and institutional capital outflows, oscillating around $70,000 in March 2026. In the short term, it remains under macroeconomic and regulatory pressure with high volatility; in the medium to long term, halving effects, ETF institutional allocations, and increased compliance are expected to support value, gradually recover, and push toward new highs. However, high volatility and policy risks still exist, so a rational outlook is necessary.
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#BTC in recent years first surged to a historic high of $126,000 in October 2025, then sharply corrected due to Federal Reserve rate hikes and institutional capital outflows, oscillating around $70,000 in March 2026. In the short term, it remains under macroeconomic and regulatory pressure with high volatility; in the medium to long term, halving effects, ETF institutional allocations, and increased compliance are expected to support value, gradually recover, and push toward new highs. However, high volatility and policy risks still exist, so a rational outlook is necessary.
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#BTC in recent years first surged to a historic high of $126,000 in October 2025, then sharply corrected due to Federal Reserve rate hikes and institutional capital outflows, oscillating around $70,000 in March 2026. In the short term, it remains under macroeconomic and regulatory pressure with high volatility; in the medium to long term, halving effects, ETF institutional adoption, and increased compliance will support its value, potentially gradually recovering and reaching new highs. However, high volatility and policy risks still exist, so a rational outlook is necessary.
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#ETHNearIntents In the ecosystem, bridged Ethereum (Bridged ETH) is revolutionizing cross-chain exchanges with its unique intent-based aggregation model.
Users no longer perform traditional swaps but submit transaction intents, which are then solved on-chain to find the optimal price.
Total trading volume has reached $14.3 billion, within 24 hours…
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On March 28th at 12:00, BTC is priced at $66,475.2, with a 24-hour volatility of over 4%. The lowest dip was $65,511.6, and the overall trend remains weak. Hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve and geopolitical conflicts have disturbed market sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index remains low, indicating strong risk-averse sentiment among investors. Technical indicators show a bearish alignment with EMA moving averages, and the MACD has crossed below into a downtrend. Short-term support levels are at $65,500–$66,000, with resistance at $68,000–$69,000. The bears still dominate, and the rebo
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#BTC cycle pattern is repeating:
2015–2017 Bull Market: 35 months
2017–2018 Bear Market: 12 months
2018–2021 Bull Market: 35 months
2021–2022 Bear Market: 12 months
2022–2025 Bull Market: 35 months
2026–2027 Bear Market: We are currently in this phase
Are you ready for the upcoming market?
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Gao Fan Yong
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