The U.S. Department of Labor will release the February CPI data tonight, with market expectations remaining the same at 2.4% as the previous value. CPI is an important inflation indicator, and the data release could influence the dollar's movement. Despite February non-farm employment data falling short of expectations, market expectations for interest rate cuts have not been significantly adjusted.

Gate News Report, on March 10th, February's non-farm payroll data showed weaker-than-expected employment performance, forming a stark contrast to the market's general expectation of resilience. However, the market's rate cut expectations have not significantly adjusted as a result. The interest rate market data indicates that the next rate cut is still highly likely to occur in the second half of the year. This week, both CPI and PCE data will be released successively. Against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's decision next week, whether inflation data can signal a cooling trend and resonate with employment figures will be the market's focus. Analysts believe that the rebound in energy prices may hinder inflation cooling, making it difficult for the data to shake the Fed's wait-and-see stance.

According to CoinShares weekly report, digital asset investment products saw a net inflow of $619 million on March 9, reflecting the market's response to the Iran crisis. Despite poor non-farm payroll data, overall sentiment remains positive, with the United States contributing the majority of the funds. Bitcoin and Ethereum performed notably.

2026-03-08 11:00 to 2026-03-08 11:15 (UTC), ETH fluctuated within the range of 1952.51 to 1974.42 USDT, with an amplitude of 1.11%. The final 15-minute return was -0.92%. Trading volume briefly increased during this period, on-chain active addresses rose, and market attention intensified, leading to significant short-term volatility during the session. The main driver of this movement was the US February non-farm payrolls data falling short of expectations, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2%, which stimulated global risk aversion sentiment and caused capital to flow into dollar assets. Major US stock markets

The US dollar performed strongly amid Middle East conflicts and soaring oil prices, rising 1.5% this week, the largest increase in over a year. Despite the US non-farm payroll report showing job reductions, the market remains influenced by oil prices and uncertainty, continuing to push the dollar higher.

Gate News Report, March 6, Analyst Chris Anstey stated that this week's non-farm payroll data could prompt the Federal Reserve to reconsider resuming interest rate cuts. He pointed out that the current employment market conditions do not align with the "stabilizing" state described by many Federal Reserve officials earlier.

Gate News Report, on March 6, after the release of U.S. non-farm payroll data which was below expectations, spot gold surged over $40, currently at $5112 per ounce; spot silver rose sharply by $1.6, currently at $83.85 per ounce; the US dollar index DXY (which measures the strength of the dollar against a basket of currencies) briefly fell more than 20 points, currently at 99.14.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that in February, US ADP employment figures and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI both exceeded expectations, indicating that the job market, which the Federal Reserve is more concerned about, is becoming more stable. The Fed has also signaled that it is not in a hurry to cut interest rates. Coupled with soaring domestic energy prices due to the war, market expectations for the next rate cut have been pushed back to around September. If the February non-farm payrolls perform modestly or are overshadowed by the war, under the foreseeable scenario of a rebound in inflation, market expectations for the Fed's first rate cut will extend into the third quarter.

ChainCatcher News, according to Jinshi reports, Derek Halpenny of Mitsubishi UFJ Bank stated in a report that if the upcoming US employment data is strong enough, it could further reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, causing the dollar to rise. He pointed out that if non-farm payrolls show strong performance and wage growth accelerates, it could lead the market to cut back on rate cut bets and push the dollar higher. However, he also warned that considering the potential impact of Middle East conflicts on business activity, Friday's employment data "may be the best result we can see for some time."

CME lowers precious metals futures margin requirements, signaling increased market liquidity. The Middle East conflict has driven up energy prices, leading to a reassessment of inflation risks. The interest rate market pricing has shifted, with easing expectations cooling down, and funds focusing on U.S. non-farm payroll data, affecting economic and liquidity trends. The crypto market is also impacted, with short-term volatility rising.