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Markets move to price in rate hikes as inflation fears and geopolitics reshape Fed expectations

The essay discusses a significant shift in market expectations regarding Federal Reserve monetary policy, with probability favoring rate hikes instead of cuts. This change is attributed to rising inflation fears linked to energy prices amid Middle East tensions. Additionally, while Bitcoin has held steady, it remains underperforming compared to other assets like gold and stocks.

Iranian army air defense forces shot down an MQ-9 drone

Gate News announcement: On March 29, according to reports from Iran’s Islamic Republic of Broadcasting, Iran’s Army air defense forces shot down an MQ-9 “Reaper” drone (U.S. military’s large reconnaissance/attack drone) in the eastern part of the Strait of Hormuz.

Frequent "precise trading" was observed before Trump's major announcement, and several experts are calling for a thorough investigation.

During Trump’s tenure, traders made precise moves ahead of his major policy announcements and could have profited millions of dollars. Legal experts say these trades look suspicious and should be investigated for information leaks to protect market fairness.

Frequent precise trading occurred before major policy announcements from the Trump administration, with multiple experts calling for a thorough investigation.

Before Trump's second term, multiple traders profited millions of dollars by positioning themselves ahead of his policy decisions, sparking calls from legal experts for investigations into information leaks. Experts pointed out that these trading patterns are suspicious and may involve insider trading, warranting attention from regulatory agencies.

Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, and the oil volatility index OVX rose to 93.

Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, demanding the restoration of passage through the Strait of Hormuz, escalating the situation. This move will weaken diplomatic buffers, escalate the nature of the conflict, and lead to increased volatility in the oil market, with oil prices and market volatility continuing to rise, reflecting market concerns over a prolonged conflict.

“BTC OG Insider Whale” agent: The Easter weekend may be a window to escalate U.S.-Iran conflict; crude oil could break above $120 per barrel

The article analyzes the potential global economic impact of the upcoming conflict between the U.S. and Iran, particularly on the energy market and the debt market. It is expected that during Easter weekend, the U.S. may take action, such as going to war, which would lead to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, soaring oil prices, and a significant contraction in the global bond market. The Federal Reserve, facing the triple pressures of inflation, a banking crisis, and war financing, may adopt a "financial repression" strategy to lower real interest rates. Ultimately, the risks in the bond market are considered a greater hidden danger.