加密行业已投入2.71亿美元影响2026年美国中期选举

CryptoQuant Analyst: In March, the U.S. CPI month-over-month increase hit a record high; if the U.S.-Iran conflict continues or forces the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted that although March CPI recorded the largest month-over-month increase, core CPI remained stable, indicating that U.S. inflation has not fully spread yet. Attention should be paid to upcoming PCE data. If the Iran-Iraq conflict continues, inflation could evolve into a systemic risk and affect economic growth, and the Federal Reserve may need to continue raising rates to respond.

U.S. Bank Lowers Forecasts for U.S.-Europe Growth, Raises Inflation Expectations; Middle East Impact Is Uneven

Bank of America releases a report, adjusting its global economic outlook due to geopolitical shocks in the Middle East. The U.S. growth forecast for 2026 is lowered to 2.3%, and inflation is raised to 3.1%. The eurozone growth forecast is cut, with inflation raised to 3.3%. The report emphasizes that the impact of the shocks is uneven.

U.S.-Iran talks break down, BTC spikes then pulls back—how do geopolitical conflict and macro data affect the crypto market?

The breakdown of the nuclear talks between Iran and the U.S. caused Bitcoin to surge and then pull back, with the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and macroeconomic data becoming the focus. This article will explain the logic behind volatility in the crypto market amid geopolitical conflict and the movement of on-chain capital.

Israel assesses that a U.S.-Iran ceasefire may be extended, and both sides will continue talks

Gate News message: On April 12, according to Israeli media reports, after negotiations between the United States and Iran failed to reach an agreement, Israel assessed that a U.S.-Iran ceasefire could be extended so both sides can continue to stay in contact.

Trump hints that if Iran refuses the deal, or if it takes measures such as a maritime blockade against it

Gate News message: On April 12, U.S. President Trump reposted an article with the headline "If Iran Doesn’t Capitulate, the President Holds a 'Trump Ace': A Naval Blockade" and copied and posted that headline. The article states that if Iran refuses to accept the final agreement proposed by the United States on Saturday, Trump can choose to blow Iran back to the "Stone Age," as he vowed, or once again adopt the naval blockade strategy that had previously been successfully implemented in Venezuela.

U.S.-Iran talks: after 21 hours, no agreement reached. Vance says he has proposed a “final proposal”; Iran refuses a nuclear weapons commitment.

The U.S. vice president, Vance, did not reach an agreement in the US-Iran negotiations held in Islamabad. The core dispute is that Iran refused the U.S. demand for a nuclear weapons commitment. The breakdown of the talks has increased geopolitical risk, affecting financial markets—especially crude oil and Bitcoin prices. Even though the negotiations were unsuccessful, both sides may still continue discussions, and the market will watch for further developments.