"By 2050, the price of Bitcoin will reach 4 billion Korean Won"... The three major growth drivers identified by global asset management firms

Bold predictions have been made that Bitcoin will become the core means of global trade settlement within the next 25 years, with each coin reaching a price of $2.9 million (approximately 4.06 billion Korean won).

Famous US global asset management firm Van Eck( recently released a report stating that Bitcoin will surpass being a mere speculative asset and rise to become a reserve currency and trade settlement currency for central banks worldwide, providing a long-term target price.

“Bitcoin will attain a status equal to the British pound”

The report points out that the key prerequisite for Bitcoin reaching a price of 40 billion Korean won by 2050 is ‘the evolution as a means of payment.’

The company’s digital asset research team hypothesizes that by 2050, Bitcoin will be used to settle ▲ 5-10% of global international trade ▲ 5% of domestic trade. This is equivalent to the current position of the British pound)GBP( in the international settlement market.

According to SWIFT), the global banking messaging system, as of September 2025, the proportions of international settlement currencies are the US dollar(47.8%), euro(22.8%), and British pound(7.4%). If Bitcoin reaches a 10% market share as predicted by this asset management firm, it will surpass the Japanese yen(3.7%) or the Chinese renminbi(3.2%), vying for the position of the third-largest settlement currency in the world.

Driving factors for growth: currency devaluation and central bank adoption

The research team points out that the main drivers of Bitcoin price increases are ‘the expansion of global liquidity’ and ‘the decline in fiat currency value(Monetary Debasement).’

The report clarifies: “Within this framework, Bitcoin is not a short-term tactical trading target,” and emphasizes “it will serve as a long-term hedge(Hedge) against flawed monetary policy systems.” Analysis suggests that in the short term, prices will fluctuate with liquidity cycles, but in the long term, structural flaws in distorted national debt systems will be exposed, and Bitcoin’s value will become more apparent.

Additionally, the report predicts that global central banks will allocate about 2.5% of their assets to holding Bitcoin. A price of $2.9 million implies that Bitcoin will account for approximately 1.66% of global financial assets.

Scenario outlook: worst 180 million, best 73 billion?

This report presents three scenarios: baseline(Base), pessimistic(Bear), and optimistic(Bull).

Baseline scenario: applying a 15% annual compound growth rate(CAGR), reaching $2.9 million(approximately 40.6 billion Korean won) by 2050.

Pessimistic scenario: applying a 2% annual compound growth rate, reaching $130,000(approximately 1.8 billion Korean won) by 2050.

Optimistic scenario: applying a 20% annual compound growth rate, reaching $52.4 million(approximately 7.33 billion Korean won) by 2050.

Currently, Bitcoin is mainly used in sanctioned countries such as Venezuela, Iran, and Russia for trade, but its adoption rate in major developed countries like G7 remains relatively low. The asset management firm predicts that this situation will gradually change, and Bitcoin will enter the core of the mainstream financial system.

On the other hand, the 15% annual compound growth rate used in this forecast is lower than the 25% used in the company’s December 2024 report. At that time, the report analyzed that if the US reserves 1 million Bitcoin as a strategic asset reserve, it could reduce national debt by 35% by 2049.