Web3Veteran

The overall direction still remains bearish, and we have already moved out of a space of over a thousand points.
$BTC

Last night, the idea was successfully realized, and the high-level prediction was mostly accurate. The only regret is that the pullback was relatively weak, and the price near 77,500 failed to break out of a continuous downward space, but instead was pulled back again by funds this morning, returning to around 78,000.
The overall rhythm remains choppy, with obvious short-term bulls and bears struggle. This kind of oscillating market tests the timing of entry points and strict execution. $BTC

Thursday morning Bitcoin outlook: Despite high-level resistance, the trend remains unchanged; short-term priority is to go short at high levels.
Overnight rally lacked strength, facing resistance and falling back to around 77,200; the enthusiasm for chasing longs at high levels has clearly cooled.
The market shows heavy selling pressure above, with main forces more inclined to oscillate and distribute at high levels, with no strong momentum for continued upward movement.
Four-hour timeframe shows convergence and a choice of direction, indicators weakening, volume insufficient; the white

Wednesday Night Thoughts on 4.22 | One sentence: Volatility is weak, mainly in the upper range
Short-term 1-hour chart shows continuous tug-of-war, with frequent switches between bulls and bears but no clear direction, rising encounters resistance, and pullbacks are modestly supported, typical of a sideways pattern.
The 4-hour timeframe is clearer, with the overall channel gradually moving downward, rebound strength remaining weak, and bears maintaining dominance. After the previous decline, prices have yet to recover effectively, and selling pressure above remains evident.
Core idea:

Nine consecutive days of negative funding rates essentially reflect that market sentiment remains bearish and short positions are overly crowded. The rally in the afternoon directly pushed the funding rate back into positive territory, which is a typical short squeeze and sentiment recovery pattern.
In terms of rhythm, the original expectation was for a rebound to build a secondary high structure, but the market chose a stronger path, directly forming a double top pattern. Under this unexpected volatility, proactively raising stop-loss levels is a reasonable risk management response, not a tra

One Trump statement sets the tone—has Iran backed down? The opportunity for crypto retail investors is here!
Just saw a major blockbuster update—Trump has spoken again: Iran’s finances are on the brink of collapse, with daily losses of $500 million; even keeping military and police salaries going is hard to sustain, and it’s urgently seeking to open the Strait of Hormuz.
Behind this remark is top-tier market logic: once Iran gives in, international oil prices will drop on cue, inflation pressure will be greatly relieved, and a Federal Reserve rate cut may arrive earlier than expected. Rate cut

I guessed the beginning correctly, but I didn't expect this ending.
The take-profit point for the short position given yesterday was quite accurate; most of the partners who followed along managed to make a profit. But this market is just too outrageous—was it that I was too slow with the rhythm, or is the switch between bulls and bears inherently that fast? In the blink of an eye, it suddenly reversed into a deep V, strongly rallying and pushing higher.
Just a second ago, there was intense fighting, and the next moment, the situation immediately shifted to easing. Iran also clearly stated

The morning market rhythm is clear: first follow the trend to go long, then look for good opportunities to short at higher levels.
The overnight trend is extremely standard: Bitcoin retraced to the 74,700 support level and did not break it, then quickly rebounded to around 76,300 to consolidate, demonstrating strong buy-in below; the bulls currently have the dominant advantage.
From a structural perspective: on the 4-hour timeframe, price continues to extend upward along the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. This pullback is a normal correction within the ongoing upward move. As long as

Learning from the past: Don’t be fooled by the current “surge”—the real test is still ahead.
Recently, the market has fallen into a serious emotional misjudgment. Since the April 7 U.S. stocks ceasefire news landed, expectations of an endless “bull comeback” have been amplified without limit; this blind optimism clearly overestimates how much the situation has eased.
The fact is: there is no short-term end to geopolitical warfare, and uncertainty will suppress the valuation of risk assets for the long term.
Taking the script of the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war as a reference: in the initial s

Tonight at 10:00 PM, the nomination hearing for the next Federal Reserve Chair of the United States will be held, and their stance will have a key impact on global markets (cryptocurrency, precious metals, equity assets).
Wash's position contrast is the core variable: previously hawkish, advocating anti-inflation measures and opposing rate cuts and easing; recently publicly supporting rate cuts to align with Trump policy expectations, but their true attitude remains unclear.
Four key pieces of information to focus on:
1. Attitude toward inflation, judging whether they are a "true dove" or a "f

The Old Chives' Crypto Breakfast | April 21
1. Spot gold opened down more than 1% at one point, breaking below the 4740 level, then recovered some losses, closing down 0.28% at $4,820.72 per ounce; spot silver gapped lower at open, trading with fluctuations, closing down 1.56% at $79.71 per ounce.
2. The outlook for the US-Iran peace talks is uncertain. International oil prices gapped higher on Monday. After WTI crude oil opened up 5%, it traded in a high-range consolidation, closing up 1.91% at $88.55 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 2.51% at $90.39 per barrel.
3. Trump said it is highly

Yesterday morning, support was clearly evident around 74,000. It was judged that the market had the potential for a rebound, with an expected range of 75,500–76,000. The actual bullish continuation was slightly extended by about 500 points, which is normal fluctuation. Deviations in the structural basis within 300 points are not a big deal. I repeatedly emphasized that the key level of 75,800 has been effectively broken. Currently, the market is experiencing significant shakeout efforts, still creating a false impression of an upward surge to interfere with judgment. After 8 a.m., the quote wa

The white disk indicates the position has been reached. Just leave it alone, and it will be done.
$BTC
#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX

The most realistic statement
The people who truly make big money in this market:
Either enter early and hold long-term
Or have professional-level fund management
Or master liquidity advantages
Retail investors trying to beat institutions with "smartness"?
It's almost impossible.
But you can survive by relying on "discipline."
And surviving itself is an advantage.
$BTC
#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX

Things look like there is progress on the US-Iran side, but the core conflicts haven't been resolved, and the ceasefire is about to expire. The geopolitical risks haven't truly passed.
On the other hand, the Federal Reserve hearing is coming soon, and signals about whether to cut interest rates will gradually materialize, directly affecting the market trend.
In plain terms: superficial easing, but in reality, uncertainty is at its peak. News can trigger a market surge at any time, so stay alert.
$BTC $ETH
#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX