# BTC

1.23 Friday Bitcoin and Ethereum Afternoon Analysis
Currently, market volatility is limited, maintaining a weak trend, and it is still suitable to establish short positions. Recently, prices have been oscillating within the key level zone around 90,000, neither effectively breaking downward nor forming a significant rebound.
From a time cycle analysis, the past two days show a regular pattern of a rebound in the early session followed by a decline during the European and American trading hours. Considering today is Friday, unless there is a major fundamental change to break the current pattern

1.23 Friday Bitcoin and Ethereum Midday Analysis
The four-hour chart indicates a clearer market structure. The market trend remains strictly confined within a consolidation range, with support and resistance levels clearly defined. Currently, the price is precisely touching the key resistance area at the upper boundary of the range, and the upward potential has been fully blocked. Caution is advised regarding the potential misleading nature of a rebound.
Bitcoin around 90200 watch near 88500
Ethereum around 2990 watch near 2900
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1.22 Thursday Bitcoin and Ethereum afternoon split,
From the 4-hour cycle observation, the market shows two small bullish candles, and the Bollinger Bands display convergence characteristics, indicating that the short-term consolidation pattern may continue; within the 1-hour cycle, it is operating above the middle Bollinger Band, with the middle band providing short-term support and the upper band forming resistance. The Bollinger Bands are showing an upward trend, and the short-term upward trend is clear. On the technical level, key moving averages have been broken through, with stable buy-i

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#加密市场观察｜Liquidity Dilemma: Can This Rebound Sustain?
🔎 On-Chain + Macro Signals Reveal the True Nature of the Move
The current crypto rebound appears less like a genuine market recovery and more like a macro-driven reaction. Weak on-chain participation combined with improving global risk sentiment suggests this is a fragile rebound, not a structural trend reversal.
🌍 Macro Layer: Risk Appetite Is Steering Price
The short-term upside has been fueled primarily by global risk-on sentiment. Recent geopolitical and trade-related comments from U.S. leadership, alongside improving NATO coordination