CFTC Sues New York as 38 AGs Back Kalshi Prediction Market Crackdown

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission sued New York on Friday to block state enforcement against CFTC-registered prediction market exchanges, escalating a federal-state legal battle over regulatory jurisdiction. The same day, New York Attorney General Letitia James joined 37 other state attorneys general and the District of Columbia in filing an amicus brief in Massachusetts’ Supreme Judicial Court supporting a preliminary injunction against Kalshi, arguing that the platform’s sports event contracts constitute illegal gambling.

Attorneys General Coalition Position

The amicus brief, filed in the Supreme Judicial Court of Massachusetts, urges the court to affirm a January ruling prohibiting Kalshi from offering sports event contracts to Massachusetts residents without a Gaming Commission license. According to the brief, Kalshi users wagered more than $1 billion every month on the platform in 2025, with sports betting accounting for roughly 90% of that volume in certain months.

New York AG James stated: “Kalshi’s event contracts for sports are just illegal gambling by another name, and they should play by the same rules as every other licensed gambling platform.”

The coalition of attorneys general argues that Kalshi’s assertion that its contracts are “swaps” subject to exclusive CFTC oversight under the Dodd-Frank Act misinterprets the 2010 statute. According to the AGs, Dodd-Frank was designed to address financial instruments related to the 2008 financial crisis, not to legalize sports gambling nationwide at a time when federal law still prohibited states from authorizing such activity.

CFTC Legal Counteroffensive

Hours after the amicus brief filing, the CFTC filed a complaint in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York naming New York Attorney General James, Governor Kathy Hochul, the New York State Gaming Commission, Executive Director Robert Williams, and six commissioners as defendants.

The agency seeks a declaratory judgment that federal law grants it exclusive authority over event contracts, plus a permanent injunction blocking New York from enforcing what it characterizes as preempted gambling laws against CFTC-registered entities.

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated: “New York is the latest state to ignore federal law and decades of precedent by seeking to enforce state gambling laws against CFTC-registered exchanges.” The CFTC cited an October cease-and-desist letter Kalshi received from New York gaming regulators, alongside civil suits against Coinbase and Gemini filed earlier in the week, as evidence of state action intruding on federal jurisdiction.

James and Hochul, both Democrats, issued a joint statement Friday evening accusing the Trump administration of “prioritizing big corporations over consumers and New Yorkers’ best interests” and pledging to defend the state’s gambling laws in court.

Broader Enforcement Pattern

The CFTC’s New York lawsuit follows nearly identical suits the agency filed against Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois on April 2. CFTC Chairman Selig has steadily expanded the agency’s jurisdictional position since taking office, where he currently sits as the only active commissioner. The agency withdrew a Biden-era proposal that would have banned political event contracts and warned state regulators in February that it would “no longer sit idly by.”

Mixed Legal Outcomes Across States

Court outcomes have been divided. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit sided with Kalshi over New Jersey earlier this month in a 2-1 ruling. A Tennessee federal judge granted Kalshi a preliminary injunction in February. However, state and federal judges in Nevada, Maryland, Ohio, and Massachusetts have ruled against the platform.

Notably, Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois—the three states the CFTC is currently suing—all signed the Friday amicus brief, as did Tennessee and New Jersey, where federal courts have ruled in Kalshi’s favor. This breadth of signatories, drawn from states with varying legal outcomes, underscores how broadly state attorneys general view the preemption argument as a threat to traditional state authority over gambling.

Escalating Enforcement Actions

The Friday legal actions capped a week of cascading enforcement. New York AG James sued Coinbase and Gemini on Tuesday, seeking a minimum of $2.2 billion and $1.2 billion, respectively. Wisconsin’s attorney general filed civil suits Thursday against Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, Crypto.com, and Coinbase, alleging their sports event contracts violate the state’s commercial gambling ban.

Kalshi was valued at roughly $22 billion following a $1 billion raise disclosed in March and recorded over $10 billion in trading volume so far this month, according to The Block’s data dashboard.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

CLARITY Bill enters a critical 28-day window! Polymarket: Probability of passing drops to 38%

According to data from Polymarket prediction markets on April 27, the probability that the “Digital Asset Market Clarity Act” (CLARITY Act) will be completed into law in 2026 has fallen from a previous peak of 70% to 38-50%. As of April 27, there are only 28 days left until May 25, 2026, Memorial Day holiday in the United States.

MarketWhisper19m ago

SSRN Research Paper: Polymarket’s Pricing Accuracy Comes From 3.14% Informed Traders

According to academic paper published on SSRN on April 20, a research team from London Business School and Yale University analyzed Polymarket’s complete trading records and concluded that the platform’s pricing accuracy is mainly driven by 3.14% of informed traders, rather than the collective intelligence of all accounts. The study covers 98,906 events, 210,322 markets, involves 1.72 million accounts, and total trading volume reaches $13.76 billion.

MarketWhisper1h ago

Research reveals: Polymarket players take home 30% of profits by winning 3% of the positions—more than 70% of players absorb all losses

A new study analyzes Polymarket’s trading records from 2023–2025 and shows that only 3.14% of experienced winners control more than 30% of the profits. Crowd participation alone is not enough to explain overall accuracy; at the same time, it tracks 1,950 highly suspicious insider trading accounts that, while not driving predictions, amplified price volatility. The case shows that large bets were placed and profits were made before the U.S. announced developments regarding Venezuela. The research questions “wisdom of crowds” and emphasizes the need for increasingly strict regulation.

ChainNewsAbmedia3h ago

Polymarket Analysis: Crypto Events Account for 40% of Top 10 Most Volatile Markets

Gate News message, April 27 — Polysights, a third-party prediction market data platform, analyzed over 20,000 Polymarket markets from the past six months and released a volatility ranking. The analysis revealed that cryptocurrency-related markets account for four of the top ten most volatile markets

GateNews3h ago

Polymarket Announces April 28 Upgrade: Collateral Assets Migrated to pUSD, Trading Paused for About 1 Hour

According to an official announcement posted on X on April 27 by Polymarket developers, Polymarket will roll out a full platform infrastructure upgrade at 11:00 UTC on April 28, with trading paused for about 1 hour. This upgrade includes new generation trading contracts, a rebuilt order book, and the introduction of a new collateral token, pUSD. The platform’s existing collateral assets will be migrated from USDC.e to pUSD.

MarketWhisper3h ago

Polymarket Non-Sports Volume Reaches $7.5B vs. Kalshi's $1.6B, Says Blockchain Capital Partner

Gate News message, April 27 — According to Spencer Bogart, a partner at Blockchain Capital, Kalshi and Polymarket have nearly identical total trading volumes of approximately $12.2 billion each (Kalshi at $12.29 billion, Polymarket at $12.22 billion). However, when sports-related trades are

GateNews4h ago
Comment
0/400
GateUser-6857559evip
· 11h ago
thanks for the useful information
Reply0
GateUser-378c4af2vip
· 11h ago
thanks for the useful information ☺️
Reply0
LiquidityLibrarianvip
· 12h ago
Kalshi used to focus on compliant products, but now it’s being besieged and attacked by states—suggesting that the licensing/exemption playbook hasn’t been fully worked through yet.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-2a0e4d0avip
· 12h ago
f
Reply0
GateUser-2a0e4d0avip
· 12h ago
f
Reply0
CoconutWaterChillSquadvip
· 12h ago
This case is worth paying close attention to; once the ruling is out, the prediction market's ceiling in the United States will essentially be set.
View OriginalReply0
InstantNoodle-LevelResearchervip
· 12h ago
If the Massachusetts Supreme Court supports the ban, other states might directly copy the approach and follow suit.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-a365d15fvip
· 12h ago
It feels like the old script of "federation wants unification, states want to retain enforcement rights" again, and in the end, the users and liquidity are the ones who suffer.
View OriginalReply0
ReflectiveKeyvip
· 12h ago
The biggest fear is a one-size-fits-all approach: cutting all political and event-based contracts, which will only push demand toward gray-market platforms.
View OriginalReply0
MempoolDaydreamvip
· 12h ago
This wave of the state federation's confrontation is about to escalate in intensity.
View OriginalReply0
View More