Bitcoin Enters Relief Phase of the Bear Market, Crypto Analyst Reveals Bottom Time Frame

BTC0,02%
  • Bitcoin enters relief phase of the bear market.

  • Crypto analyst reveals bottom price formation time frame.

  • Can the price of BTC hit one last ATH before the bottom forms?

The price of Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneer crypto asset, continues to trade under the $70,000 price range and is currently trading between $66,000 and $68,000. From here, bearish analysts are certain that the price of BTC will go on to hit much lower price targets before finally bottoming sometime this year. According to one expert, Bitcoin enters relief phase of the bear market.

Bitcoin Enters Relief Phase of the Bear Market

The present bearish sentiments have all been drawn based on the traditional 4-year bull cycle. According to this pattern, the price of BTC hit its cycle peak price in October 2025. Thus, when BTC hit its latest ATH at $126,000 during Q4 last year, the asset may have just set its cycle top price. According to the 4-year cycle model, every day of the cycle was accounted for, meaning a bear market had begun.

Now, bearish analysts are working with the same model pattern to determine when the price of BTC will go on to set its bottom price before a bullish run can begin. According to one crypto expert, Bitcoin has entered the relief phase of the bear market and is repeating the 2022 price structure perfectly, meaning another significant price drop is inevitable sometime this year.

🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY

Bitcoin has just entered the relief phase of the bear market.

2022 structure is repeating perfectly:

54% drop from ATH → complete
Relief rally → now
Final capitulation → next

This is where the trap is.

Most traders think the bottom is in during this… pic.twitter.com/usNZ93ZF7r

— Alex Mason 👁△ (@AlexMasonCrypto) April 6, 2026

In detail, the previous 2022 pattern meant that BTC would drop by over 50% from its ATH, which is already completed. This is then followed by a relief rally, which is occurring now, and lastly, the final capitulation is expected to play out. As we can see from the post above, this expert says that the capitulation is where the trap lies and that most will expect the bottom to have formed here only to get the timing wrong.

Crypto Analyst Reveals Bottom Time Frame

The post then goes on to highlight how many days the previous bull cycles went on for and concludes that based on historical timing, the highest probability window for the real bottom is somewhere between July and November 2026. He also adds that eventually, once the bottom is set, the price of BTC will recover and surge to much higher ATH prices, but what comes first is forced selling, liquidations, sentimental collapse, and panic.

He also marks how traders and retail will stop buying dips like they are doing now, which will lead to the bear market bottom finally forming. Still, despite this, true traders and crypto investors will buy BTC no matter the price, leaving them with a strong hand and an inevitable profit once the price of BTC will change its tune and move back to its bullish state in a mighty upward projection.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Bitcoin's BIP-361 Quantum Fix Splits Community Over Address Freezing

A proposed Bitcoin improvement to address quantum vulnerability has divided the cryptocurrency community over whether to freeze legacy addresses, including those attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto. The BIP-361 proposal, which went live on April 14, has sparked debate between prominent figures including

CryptoFrontier1h ago

Zonda Exchange Discloses 4,500 BTC Cold Wallet as Private Keys Remain Untransferred

Zonda, a Polish crypto exchange, revealed a cold wallet with 4,503 BTC amid a withdrawal crisis. CEO Przemysław Kral addressed fund misappropriation allegations and promised legal action against false claims, emphasizing that private keys were never transferred due to the former CEO's disappearance.

GateNews1h ago

Ben McKenzie Slams Bitcoin on Jon Stewart Show

Actor Ben McKenzie appeared on The Weekly Show with Jon Stewart on Aug. 14 in a segment titled "The Other Side of Bitcoin: Crypto Corruption," where he delivered a sharp critique of Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency industry. McKenzie, known for his film and television work, has become a

CryptoFrontier1h ago

BTC edges up 0.46% in 15 minutes: institutional fund outflows and macro risk-off sentiment in sync drove the move

From 15:00 to 15:15 (UTC) on 2026-04-16, BTC logged a +0.46% return within 15 minutes. The price fluctuated in a range of 73,939.7 to 74,440.0 USDT, with an amplitude of 0.68%. During this time window, market attention increased, short-term volatility intensified, and fund-flow characteristics changed noticeably. The main driver of this deviation is the continued outflow of large amounts of capital from exchanges. According to on-chain data, in the past 24 hours the net flow was -14,408.84 BTC, mainly concentrated in large transfer ranges of more than $1 million (especially>$10M net outflow -12,987.03 BTC). This shows that institutions and large holders actively reduced their BTC holdings on exchanges, and short-term selling pressure was significantly lowered. Against the backdrop of persistently weak liquidity, with order book depth remaining at a low level for a long time, the price has become more sensitive to medium-sized buy orders—amplifying the impact of even modest inflows on spot market price action. In addition, macro conditions changed in parallel and produced a synchronized effect: easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East boosted overall market sentiment. International gold prices rose, global equity markets hit new highs, and the market re-evaluated the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates within the year, further increasing investor attention to safe-haven assets (including BTC). At the same time, on-chain data indicates that the “whale” trading activity during this phase is at an annual low (>$1M transfers fell to 1,485 transactions). With heavy market wait-and-see sentiment and limited short-term supply, BTC’s responsiveness to sudden buy-side capital was further enhanced. Investors should be reminded that current market liquidity is still fragile. Insufficient order book depth increases the market’s sensitivity to large capital movements, and short-term volatility may intensify. Going forward, focus on further shifts in on-chain large-fund flows, changes in price action as it breaks through support or resistance regions, and the risks and opportunities brought by related macro policies and geopolitical developments. Please continue to track key data and stay alert to any sudden shocks during the period of abnormal moves.

GateNews2h ago

Bitcoin Transactions Face 70-Page Tax Filing Burden Annually

According to Nicholas Anthony of the Cato Institute's Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives, spending Bitcoin on everyday purchases creates an unexpected tax compliance nightmare. The IRS treats Bitcoin as property, not currency, meaning every transaction—even a $5 coffee

CryptoFrontier3h ago

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana ETFs Record Positive Net Inflows on April 16

Gate News message, according to the April 16 update, Bitcoin ETFs recorded a 1-day net inflow of +2,855 BTC (+$209.95M) and a 7-day net inflow of +11,849 BTC (+$871.52M). Ethereum ETFs showed a 1-day net inflow of +15,477 ETH (+$35.44M) and a 7-day net inflow of +90,366 ETH (+$206.94M). Solana ETFs

GateNews3h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments