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Trillions have flowed out of risky assets in the stock market, while Bitcoin has remained largely flat with a neutral impact. This is because the leverage cycle had already reset before the conflict even started to create fear in the market and with no crowded long positions on Bitcoin shorts are currently paying negative funding, so any positive spark from here will trigger a short squeeze that quickly fills the entire gap up to 90/96k in a very short time window.
Leverage flushed out before February → conflict starts → retail piles into shorts → Bitcoin shows no impact → conflict pauses → short squeeze