Cardano drops out of the top ten, with $0.22 becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears. Will ADA's price test a three-year low again?

February 13 News, Cardano (ADA) is currently in a critical price range, with support and resistance levels nearly overlapping with the current price, making short-term trends uncertain. Despite founder Charles Hoskinson recently announcing multiple ecosystem developments, market sentiment remains cautious, and price reactions are relatively muted.

Hoskinson revealed that Cardano is about to complete integration with LayerZero and plans to launch USDCx this month, as well as initiate the Midnight privacy sidechain mainnet before the end of March. These updates are theoretically beneficial for increasing network activity and attracting developers, but in the context of overall weak momentum in the crypto market, ADA has failed to sustain a rebound.

In terms of price, ADA dropped to $0.2205 on February 6, hitting a nearly three-year low. A technical rebound followed, and it is currently fluctuating around $0.261, but still constrained by a key zone at $0.275. Over the past few days, the price has remained in a narrow range, indicating ongoing battles between bulls and bears.

From a technical perspective, resistance is concentrated around $0.268, $0.276, and $0.284; if buying momentum weakens, the price may retest $0.243, or even fall back toward the $0.220 area. This zone is seen as the current core defense line; once broken, the market may reassess lower valuations.

On the macro front, there is also pressure. Bitcoin has yet to reach major support levels. Analyst Peter Brandt suggests it could drop to $42,000, while Geoff Kendrick mentions a higher probability of further decline around $50,000. If Bitcoin continues to weaken, it typically amplifies altcoin declines, and ADA will likely not be immune.

In this environment, short-term rebounds are more about liquidity recovery than trend reversals. Investors should pay close attention to the performance between $0.220 and $0.216, as this zone may determine Cardano’s next direction.