According to Polymarket data, on March 12th, an address placed a $4,900 bet that "Trump will announce the cessation of military operations against Iran before May." This bet is based on statements from Trump and the U.S. government, with the end of the war being decided by them. Oil prices surged due to Iran's attack on supply chains. The trader's behavior indicates that they are not betting on the actual occurrence of the event.

On March 11, reports claimed that Israel killed Supreme Leader Khamenei in an airstrike on Iran. Despite the dramatic turn of events, Mujtaba Khamenei has been officially announced as his successor, but he has not appeared publicly since the war began. An address in the prediction market is betting $9,500, indicating market confidence that the Iranian regime will not fall in June.

Gate News Report, March 11 — According to Gate Market Data, at the time of press, WAR (WAR) is trading at $0.01, down 79.55% in the past 24 hours, with a high of $0.06. The 24-hour trading volume reached $13.8 million. The current market capitalization is approximately $5.57 million, a decrease of about $21.65 million from yesterday. WAR is a community-driven project built on the Solana blockchain, creating the ultimate meme coin platform for traders and creators. The project aims to provide a comprehensive ecosystem for community members to issue, trade, and express creativity around popular projects. ## Important recent news about WAR: 1️⃣ **Geopolitical events causing intense market risk sentiment fluctuations** The escalation of US-Iran tensions has become a major factor in the crypto market

Gate News: On March 11, according to Gate market data, ARIA (AriaAI) is currently priced at $0.13, up 30.03% in the past 24 hours. It reached a high of $0.14 and a low of $0.07. The current market capitalization is approximately $39.9 million, an increase of $9.21 million compared to yesterday. ARIA is an open-world mobile game project where players can earn rewards by playing and accelerate their ranking by minting ARIA Wishfont Pass. The project features a rich narrative background set on the continent of Nutania, telling the ancient war legend between the elves (Aria) and evil forces. The game consists of multiple unique characters, each with their own storylines. ARIA has received support from entities including Fish 8, PartyH

Gate News: On March 11, U.S. Democratic lawmakers will introduce a bill explicitly banning trading contracts related to war and death events.

Gate News Announcement: On March 10th, U.S. Democratic lawmakers will introduce a bill on March 11th to explicitly prohibit trading contracts related to events involving war and death.

Since the outbreak of the Iran war, Bitcoin prices have rebounded, rising approximately 5.4% in total; meanwhile, the Dubai real estate market has declined by 18.1% due to missile attacks and foreign capital withdrawals. High-net-worth investors are fleeing, coupled with expectations of a surge in future supply, leading to a general decline in housing prices. Overall, the war is reshaping regional risks and has a profound impact on global asset allocation.