March 12 News: Iran warned on Wednesday that if the US and Israel continue military actions against Iran, oil prices could double to $200 per barrel. This news immediately drew global market attention and potentially impacted Bitcoin prices. Sebastián Cerano, CEO of Argentine cryptocurrency exchange Ripio, pointed out that high energy prices could worsen inflation, prompting central banks worldwide to delay interest rate cuts, thereby limiting the liquidity needed for Bitcoin to rise.
In recent conflicts, Bitcoin experienced a rapid sell-off followed by a rebound. Currently, the trading price is close to $70,434, slightly higher since the outbreak of war on February 28. However, analysts warn that larger volatility may occur in the future. Although some investors see Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, unlike gold, its performance under geopolitical shocks remains unstable.
Historical data shows that Middle East wars often exert downward pressure on Bitcoin. For example, after Israel launched “Operation Rising Lion” in June 2025, Bitcoin prices plummeted until US President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire. Data firm Kaiko analyst Lawrence Fraussen stated that Bitcoin now resembles high-volatility risk assets like tech stocks rather than traditional commodities, and its price is highly sensitive to geopolitical events.
Additionally, although the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission classifies Bitcoin as a commodity, its price behavior differs from oil or gold, making it more susceptible to market sentiment and global economic factors. If the Middle East conflict persists or escalates, Bitcoin is expected to experience more intense price fluctuations, and investors should be cautious of potential sell-offs and risks.
Overall, geopolitical tensions, soaring oil prices, and changes in market liquidity collectively create short-term uncertainty for Bitcoin. Traders and long-term holders should monitor the conflict developments and central bank policies to assess the risks and opportunities for Bitcoin.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Solv Protocol Integrates Utexo to Launch Native Bitcoin Yield Solution on RGB and Lightning Network
Solv Protocol and Utexo have partnered to create a Bitcoin yield solution using the RGB protocol and Lightning Network, allowing direct BTC and USDT swaps while prioritizing self-custody and privacy. Solv also invested in Utexo's recent funding round led by Tether.
GateNews7m ago
Bitcoin bull market index rises to 40 points; Bloomberg: the U.S. and Iran are considering extending the ceasefire agreement by two weeks
Bitcoin’s price as of April 16 is approaching $74,700. The Bullish Sentiment Index (BSI) has risen to 40 points, indicating a rebound in market sentiment. The United States and Iran are evaluating options to extend the current ceasefire agreement, and they are also discussing navigation issues in the Strait of Hormuz, as diplomatic negotiations continue.
MarketWhisper28m ago
Tether Adds $70M Bitcoin Reserve, Increases Holdings to 97,141 BTC
Tether has transferred 951 BTC valued at approximately $70 million to its Bitcoin reserve, increasing its total holdings to 97,141 BTC worth about $7.16 billion. This move aligns with Tether's strategy of investing 15% of operating profits into Bitcoin.
GateNews51m ago
BlackRock Withdraws 3,446 BTC from Major CEX in 8 Hours, Worth $255.2M
BlackRock withdrew 3,446 BTC, worth about $255.2 million, from a major CEX, signaling ongoing institutional accumulation in the Bitcoin market.
GateNews1h ago
BTC 15-minute up 0.46%: spot trading volume expansion and derivatives long position buildup as two drivers
From 2026-04-15 19:30 to 19:45 (UTC), the BTC price fluctuated between 74,706.2 and 75,276.9 USDT. Within 15 minutes, the return reached +0.46%, and the range was 0.76%. Trading activity in the market for this window was active: spot trading volume rose 18% compared with the previous hour’s average. Volatility increased in the short term, and overall market attention improved.
The main drivers behind this abnormal move are the short-term amplification of spot market trading volume and the coordinated increase in long positions in the derivatives market. Derivatives futures open interest (Open Interest) during this period, on a month-over-month basis,
GateNews5h ago
