Alibaba’s ChatGPT competitor Qwen3-MAX has released its latest predictions, warning that XRP, ADA, and DOGE could experience significant volatility before year-end. The bearish scenario predicts XRP could drop to $0.15 or, in an optimistic scenario, surge to $10. ADA could fall to $0.10 in a bearish case or skyrocket to $10 in a bullish case, representing a 2,274% increase. For DOGE, the bearish target is $0.02, while the bullish target is $2.50.
Dual-Track Forecast for XRP: ETF Effect as the Key Variable
(Source: Trading View)
Alibaba’s model shows a bearish forecast that, if pessimism continues to dominate the market, Ripple’s XRP could retreat from its current $2.06 to around $0.15, a drop of about 93%. Such a retracement would contrast sharply with XRP’s strong performance earlier this year. In July, after Ripple won a landmark legal battle against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, XRP’s price soared to $3.65, its highest in seven years.
For most of 2025, XRP’s price has hovered between $2 and $3. Its Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at a neutral level of 37 and trending downward, as traders are taking profits from yesterday’s brief price rebound. This technical weakness supports the bearish scenario, and a collapse in market confidence could accelerate XRP’s decline.
However, Alibaba’s optimistic outlook paints a very different picture, suggesting XRP will surge 385% to $10 before New Year’s Eve, nearly triple its all-time high. The core driver of this XRP forecast is the recent launch of nine U.S. spot XRP ETFs, which could trigger a wave of institutional investor interest during the holiday season, similar to the early inflows seen when Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs were first launched.
More ETF approvals are expected over the next few months, increasing the likelihood that 2026 will be a transformative year for XRP. Investors building positions now may find themselves well-prepared for this shift. Structural ETF buying, combined with Ripple’s ongoing expansion of its cross-border payment network, could push XRP into a new price discovery phase.
Academic Rigor Behind ADA’s 2,274% Surge
(Source: Trading View)
Cardano (ADA) remains one of the most academically rigorous and research-driven blockchain ecosystems. Launched by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson, the network prioritizes peer-reviewed development, security, scalability, and long-term sustainability. With a market cap of over $15.6 billion and TVL exceeding $189 million, Cardano continues to stand out among Layer 1 networks, thanks to its active developer community and expanding suite of decentralized applications.
According to Alibaba AI predictions, ADA could soar to around $10 by early 2026, a 2,274% increase from its current price of $0.4212, more than triple its 2021 peak of $3.09. This ADA forecast is based on several key assumptions: Cardano’s carefully planned upgrade roadmap, robust fundamentals, and a DeFi-centered next bull market cycle.
Cardano’s technical strength is rooted in its unique consensus mechanism, Ouroboros, and its phased feature upgrades. Unlike many projects, Cardano insists on academic validation before deployment—a cautious approach that slows development but significantly reduces security risks. Analysts note that these solid fundamentals position ADA as a likely major winner in the next bull run.
Still, Alibaba’s bearish scenario warns that if macroeconomic weakness intensifies, ADA’s price could fall to $0.10, more than a 76% drop from current levels. This scenario assumes a global liquidity crunch and a broad sell-off in risk assets—factors that even Cardano’s technical excellence may not withstand.
DOGE’s Transformation from Meme Coin to Payment Tool
(Source: Trading View)
Dogecoin (DOGE), originally created in 2013 as a parody of crypto hype, now has a market cap of about $21.7 billion, accounting for nearly half of the $45.8 billion memecoin market. The token formed several bullish chart patterns in late summer and early fall, but momentum has since cooled. In Alibaba’s more bearish scenario, DOGE could fall to $0.02, an 86% drop from its current price of $0.1387.
DOGE’s all-time high of $0.7316 occurred during the retail investor frenzy of 2021, but the long-discussed $1 milestone remains unachieved. However, Alibaba’s bullish view suggests DOGE could actually rise by 1,700% to $2.50—18 times its current price. This DOGE forecast far exceeds the $1 psychological level and suggests that, if achieved, DOGE would rewrite the memecoin narrative.
Meanwhile, DOGE’s real-world adoption continues to grow: Tesla accepts DOGE for merchandise, and payment platforms like PayPal and Revolut also support DOGE transactions. This shift from pure speculation to practical payment utility is a key pillar of Alibaba AI’s bullish thesis. If DOGE can keep expanding merchant acceptance, its value base will shift from community sentiment to actual demand.
Three Key Conditions for DOGE to Reach the $2.50 Target
Ongoing Musk Promotion: Tesla and other Musk-affiliated companies expand DOGE payment use cases
Deep Integration with Mainstream Payment Platforms: More retailers accept DOGE as an everyday payment tool
Meme Culture Boom: A new wave of retail mania driven by social media
Macro Background and Investment Strategies for the Three Major Forecasts
Alibaba AI’s dual-track predictions reflect the two starkly different macro paths facing the current crypto market. The optimistic scenario assumes global liquidity remains loose, institutional adoption accelerates, and regulatory environments improve. In this context, XRP, ADA, and DOGE would all benefit from a broad risk asset rally. The pessimistic scenario assumes economic recession, regulatory crackdowns, or systemic risk events, leading to a deep crypto market correction.
For investors, this dual-track forecast offers a risk management framework. The conservative strategy is to build positions in batches at current prices, set stop-losses near the bearish targets (XRP $0.15, ADA $0.10, DOGE $0.02), and set profit targets at partial achievement of the bullish scenarios. The aggressive strategy is to go overweight on the bullish scenario but be prepared to withstand potential 80-90% drawdowns.
From an asset allocation perspective, XRP, ADA, and DOGE represent different risk-reward profiles. XRP benefits from institutional-grade adoption and the ETF effect, making it relatively lower risk. ADA relies on technological upgrades and the DeFi narrative, placing it in the medium-risk category. DOGE is highly dependent on sentiment and community-driven momentum, making it the riskiest but with the greatest potential return. Diversifying among all three can help balance risk and opportunity.
