The bet assigns a 73% probability of BTC surpassing $120,000, with a 61% chance of testing $130,000 by December 31, 2025. 37% of Polymarket participants believe $150,000 is achievable, while 17% are betting $200,000. The $250,000 threshold has a 10% probability, with a bold 3% betting on BTC hitting seven figures. Meanwhile, 38% expect Bitcoin to trade near $70,000, with 17% predicting a drop toward $50,000. Interestingly, 5% of bettors expect BTC to fall to $20,000 by the end of the year. The Kalshi bet asks “When will Bitcoin hit $150,000?” and there is a 30% chance that it will happen befor