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April 26 Market Analysis: Oscillatory Correction Only for Building Strength, The Long-Term Bullish Pattern Remains Unchanged
Cycle Perspective: Short-term Repairs Do Not Alter the Long-term Uptrend
From a macro cycle perspective, the overall bullish trend of the market has not changed.
Weekly Level: All indicators continue to trend upward, the momentum remains strong, and the key target remains at the 80,000 level.
The recent two-week rally followed by pullbacks is mainly due to resistance from the weekly EMA21 moving average, which is a normal technical correction and buildup during an uptrend, not a trend reversal. After long-term sideways consolidation, the market has built sufficient momentum, and the potential for a breakout to the upside still exists.
Daily Level: The market has entered a slight oscillatory downward correction phase, with technical indicators weakening accordingly. However, it is important to emphasize that one should not blindly bearish based solely on indicator declines.
Currently, market volume remains subdued, with no significant increase compared to previous highs, indicating a lack of strong downward momentum and making deep corrections unlikely. The overall daily structure still maintains a bullish arrangement, with key support concentrated in the 76,600-77,000 range, which is also our core area for subsequent low-position accumulation.
4-Hour Short-term: The pattern has shown some subtle changes, with previous support levels now turning into short-term resistance, especially in the 77,600-77,700 range, which is under clear pressure. It is temporarily not suitable to chase long positions. Although small-cycle indicators are declining, there are no signals of breakdown or trend reversal; overall, it is just a weak consolidation with sideways oscillation, and the bulls and bears are in a relatively flat battle.
Key Levels and Next Week Outlook
From a timing perspective, the upcoming market will reach critical turning points. The weekly update will be completed on Monday, and the monthly update is due on May 1. Against the backdrop of this dual cycle transition, market volatility next week is expected to increase significantly, making it an important opportunity window for the month. Looking at today (Sunday), due to generally weak market liquidity, the trend is likely to remain a slight pullback and narrow-range oscillation, making a large directional move unlikely. Therefore, short-term trading is advised to reduce frequent transactions and maintain patience.
Overall Trading Strategy
Considering the global cycle structure, we provide a clear trading approach:
Short-term (Today): The market mainly consolidates with oscillations. Be patient for pullback opportunities; avoid chasing highs or over-leveraging.
Mid-term (Next Week): The weekly bullish structure remains solid; all pullbacks should be viewed as preparatory adjustments before further upward movement. Focus on the support zone of 76,600-77,000; once stabilized after a pullback, consider low-position long entries. Be cautious with resistance zones above.
In summary, the short-term oscillatory correction will not change the medium- and long-term bullish trend. Currently, we only need to stay patient, avoid being disturbed by minor fluctuations, and wait for cycle updates and market buildup to complete, then seize the next wave of upward movement.
Risk Reminder: The above content is solely personal market analysis for reference and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; proper risk control is essential. #加密市场行情震荡