The market tonight is not lacking in volatility, only in rhythm. At 8:30 PM, the US retail data will be released first, serving as the first hard data in recent times, directly related to the market's assessment of the economy's strength or weakness, with both positive and negative signals being amplified and interpreted; immediately afterward, Trump will speak, combined with Iran topics, and market sentiment could be ignited at any moment; at 10:00 PM, the WASH hearing will take place, which is another re-pricing of expectations for monetary policy. The convergence of these three events is a typical "intensive message bombardment period."

In this kind of market, don't bet on the direction, and don't pre-allocate heavy positions in advance, as it’s easy to be swept back and forth. The rhythm should follow "data release → sentiment release → trend-following," patiently wait for the first wave of volatility to pass, then look for structural entry points. Short-term opportunities definitely exist, but the prerequisite is controlling position size and timing precisely; otherwise, even large fluctuations are just reasons for others to harvest your gains.