U.S. stocks opened higher in the evening, but overall momentum was insufficient, making a decline after an initial rise highly likely. Although risk sentiment appears to be improving, in reality, the underlying strength remains weak. Lebanon's short-term ceasefire lasted only a week and did not achieve a complete reconciliation; the situation could become tense again at any time, and market risk aversion has not truly dissipated. Bitcoin's white chart remains volatile at high levels, with bulls unable to continue pushing higher. The previous resistance levels are heavily pressured, and short-term momentum is clearly weakening. Key support levels are in danger, and bears are gradually taking control of the pace. Coupled with the possibility of a sudden drop in U.S. stocks and unresolved geopolitical conflicts, the probability of Bitcoin falling in the evening is much higher than rising. $BTC