CPI, options expiration, US-Iran negotiations—three powder kegs are all coming to the stage tonight. Could today be another Black Friday?

First, regarding the US-Iran talks, although negotiations have started, there are significant disagreements. Iran wants to include Lebanon in the negotiations, but the US and Israel refuse. Over the next two weeks, the US and Iran will be at the negotiation table, while Lebanon and Israel are on the battlefield—it's too difficult to bring these two lines together, not to mention how hard it is for both sides to agree on other conditions they want to discuss! For traders, if the negotiations go well, it’s a lift; if not, it’s a dive.

The second is CPI data. Today's figures are likely to look pretty bad, but a single data point can't cause too much downside! That is, the market won't experience the huge swings you might imagine. Because the market’s pricing logic has changed; institutions have already digested most of the news in advance. Relying solely on high CPI = sharp decline logic is outdated now.

Another point worth noting is that a $23.6 billion Bitcoin options expiration is happening today. Call options are concentrated around 75,000-80,000, while put options are centered near 65,000. This is one of the largest options expiration events recently, which could add some volatility!

Lately, the daytime has been all dead time. If you don’t seize this big wave of volatility to make a strong move, what are you waiting for?
Those who want to get in, hurry up! #美伊停火协议谈判再生变故