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Warren Buffett has accumulated a record amount of cash, and this is no coincidence.
While the market is still celebrating and pushing asset prices higher, Warren Buffett has been doing something most people are reluctant to consider—for three consecutive years—quietly selling off.
From 2022 to 2024:
— Selling $172 billion worth of stocks
— Almost no new purchases
— Accelerating in 2024: selling $134 billion in one year
In an extremely optimistic market environment—he’s not participating. He’s withdrawing.
The current situation is:
— Holding $373 billion in U.S. short-term government bonds
— The largest cash reserve in corporate history
— Earning about $13 billion annually just by waiting
This isn’t “fear.” It’s a clear stance.
This isn’t cash; it’s loaded weapons.
Let’s also look at the macro background.
Buffett Indicator (Total Market Cap / GDP) is about 220%
This level has only appeared during the dot-com bubble.
Shiller CAPE is around 39
Historically, this indicates overheating, not the start of a rally.
Buffett himself has made it clear:
When the indicator exceeds 200%, it’s like “playing with fire by the fire.”
He also doesn’t try to guess where the bottom is.
He keeps it simple:
Waiting for the math to once again be on his side.
What’s important is that we understand what this means.
In 2008, he had $31 billion.
He entered during the crisis and made $16 billion.
Today, he has $373 billion.
This is no longer just “participating in the market.”
This is a level of influence capable of impacting the market.
While everyone else is guessing whether prices will go up or down,
He has already chosen his strategy:
Do nothing… wait for others to lose money.
By the way, by 2026, his fund has outperformed the market by 23%
Simply because he’s not actively trading.
And one more thing.
Even after selling some, Apple remains his largest holding (about 19%).
Buffett admits he sold too early.
But he made over $100 billion on Apple.
This kind of “mistake” is something most people can only dream of.
What does this mean?
The market isn’t about “making money at all costs.”
What’s truly important is:
— Discipline
— Patience
— The resolve not to participate
Because money isn’t made through volatility.
It’s made the moment you enter at the right time.
So, in which direction is all this heading?
Toward a scenario where:
— Liquidity has been fully accumulated
— Overheating is obvious
— Only one trigger point remains
And when that trigger arrives,
Players like Buffett won’t hesitate.
They will just start buying.
And then, the market will be changed once again.