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Today’s Two-Cake Strategy (Thursday)
Overall in a oversold rebound phase, short-term upward momentum is weak, medium-term trend remains bearish, and bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war.
1. Price Action and Moving Averages
The daily rebound has not stabilized above the medium-term moving average, indicating a downward overall trend; short-term rebound hits the upper Bollinger Band and moving average, then faces resistance and pulls back due to insufficient volume, with bulls unable to push higher.
2. Key Resistance
Recent highs above and medium-term critical levels form strong resistance. Multiple attempts to break through have failed. Failure to surpass these levels could end the rebound early, favoring the bears.
3. Technical Indicators
RSI is in the neutral zone with weak upward momentum; MACD shows weakening bearish momentum, but the medium-term bearish pattern remains unchanged; rebound volume is low, and buying interest at higher prices is limited.
4. Support Levels and Downside Targets
There are two key support levels below. If the first support is broken, the rebound ends; losing the critical support could open further downside space, continuing the bearish trend.
Core Conclusion
Today’s rebound faces resistance, short-term remains bearish, medium-term correction is not yet confirmed, and weak rebounds are likely to continue downward.
Two-Cake: rebound from 2120 to 2150
First target: around 2080
Second target: around 2030 (cautiously) #四月行情预测 $BTC $ETH