$SOFI is in a very critical zone. If the monthly structure around $16.48 holds, the scenario remains on the table. But a weak monthly close below this area would show that the technical structure has clearly deteriorated. The FVG (blue zones) retest logic is still in play, but it is important for this final test to succeed. There is a possibility of a brief dip into the green range during April. A wick into that zone by itself wouldn't be damaging. What really matters is whether a fast reclaim comes in. The news flow is not very clean on either the macro or short term side, there have been short thesis discussions tied to Muddy Waters and concerns about credit quality. Even so, the core fundamental story has not broken, but sentiment has been damaged. Because of that, it makes sense to act in a controlled way rather than aggressively. Those willing to take risk should build the position not because the price is lower, but as the scenario gets confirmed. In the early phase, ..% of the risk budget can be deployed. The first half of that only if the stock holds in the current area, and the second half if it dips into the lower band and then reclaims it. In the confirmation phase, ..% can be added as key reclaim levels are taken back. The remaining ..% comes into play once the trend reversal becomes clear. That way, instead of making a one shot judgment, the position gets built according to the information the market gives.

How?
Early entry: ..% of the risk budget ..% .., and ..% in the $..-$.. zone.
Confirmation entry: ..% ..% at $.. on a short term momentum reclaim, and ..% above $.. on structural trend confirmation.
Trend continuation: ..% When the trend reversal is fully confirmed.
That way, even if price action gets a little worse, control stays in your hands.
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