When should you enter the market?

This question occupies millions of minds simultaneously in every cycle.

Because the human brain can carry the deepest fear and the strongest greed at the same time. During accumulation, when no one is talking, we hesitate and ask, “Is it too early?” When markup accelerates, we rush in with the feeling of “I’m missing out.” During distribution, while everyone speaks with excitement, we convince ourselves that “it will still go higher.” And when markdown arrives… most people stop talking altogether.

The truth is: there is no such thing as a perfect entry time. The only thing that exists is the alignment between your risk tolerance and the rhythm of the market.

Psychological Gravity Fields Within the Cycle

Crypto cycles flow through four classic phases:

Accumulation → Silence dominates. Smart money quietly builds positions. Price moves sideways, news is scarce, social media is quiet. This is the hardest but most valuable zone. Because the herd has not awakened yet.

Markup (Bull Phase) → Momentum begins. Early entrants relax; latecomers enter with FOMO. Liquidity increases, volatility rises. Entry feels easier, but the risk/reward ratio deteriorates.

Distribution → Near the top. Everyone says, “This time is different.” Media excitement peaks, new participants flood in. Entry looks most attractive here—but it is actually the most dangerous moment.

Markdown (Bear Phase) → Panic, capitulation, blame. Prices drop sharply. Most participants experience surrender. This is the doorway to a new accumulation—but very few can endure it.

In 2025, we saw a strong progression of the markup phase after the Bitcoin halving. As of early 2026, many indicators (MVRV, long-term holder behavior) are still in an intermediate zone — meaning neither extreme bottom nor classic top signals are present. This implies: the cycle is not over, but the easy money phase is already behind us.

The Triangle: Technical + Macro + Liquidity

Basing entry timing on a single factor is naive.

Macro: A rate-cut cycle, institutional ETF inflows, and regulatory momentum may still be supportive. But a reverse pivot by the Fed or a major geopolitical shock can turn everything 180 degrees.

Liquidity: Are stablecoin inflows, exchange reserve shifts, and perpetual funding rates still positive? Or is overheating beginning?

Technical: As long as the higher timeframe structure remains intact (for example, weekly 200 EMA holding), a risk-on posture can be maintained. But if RSI is overextended with divergence, momentum exhaustion may be near.

They will never align perfectly. Waiting for perfection = never entering.

Discipline > Timing

Most people searching for “the best entry” are actually asking:
“When will I feel the least regret?”

The simple and painful answer: what minimizes regret is not timing — it is a system.

Never exceed the 2–5% risk rule per position.

Use staged entries instead of a single full allocation.

Treat DCA not just as a comfort tool, but as a psychological shield.

Define a clear invalidation level for every entry and respect it.

Keep ROI expectations realistic: 3x–5x is reasonable; 50x is fantasy.

The market will never shout “cheap” or “expensive.” It only gives you price. The rest is your mind interpreting it.

Final Thought

The best entry time is the moment your discipline meets the market’s chaos.

Ask yourself this question:

“Is the position I’m entering today small and rational enough that even an 18-month bear market wouldn’t cost me sleep?”

If the answer is yes… timing becomes secondary.

That’s where the real game begins: managing your own rhythm.

What do you think — which psychological zone of the cycle are we in right now? And what has been your personal entry criterion so far?
#WhenisBestTimetoEntertheMarket