The upcoming Japan election consolidates the dominance of the Liberal Democratic Party

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is positioned as the clear favorite in Japan’s upcoming election, according to multiple opinion polls consulted by international media. The House of Representatives elections are approaching, and available figures project a favorable scenario for the current administration led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.

Polls depict a clear advantage for the ruling party

The most recent data released by Asahi Shimbun indicate that the LDP could win more than 233 seats in the lower house, a figure that significantly exceeds the simple majority threshold. This voting trend suggests a decisive outcome that would strengthen the party’s position in the legislature.

The ruling coalition, composed of the LDP along with the Japan Innovation Party as a political partner, is projected to reach the 310 seats needed to pass constitutional reforms in the House of Representatives. This outstanding result would allow the administration to secure the parliamentary support necessary to push for changes to the constitution from the lower chamber of Congress.

Remaining challenges on the path to constitutional reform

Despite the encouraging prospects, Takaichi still faces significant obstacles in her reform agenda. Securing a two-thirds majority in the House of Councillors presents an additional challenge that would require complex legislative negotiations. Furthermore, any constitutional amendments must be ratified through a national referendum, a mechanism that introduces a level of uncertainty regarding the final outcome of the institutional reform the LDP aims to promote.