Based on the latest real-time market data and depth as of February 7, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently at a highly sensitive and volatile turning point.

​1. Market Status: Panic Sell-off and Support Testing
​In the past 24 hours, BTC has experienced intense shakeouts.
​Current Price: Fluctuating around $67,700 - $68,100.
​Short-term Trend: Price has dropped from this morning (UTC+8) at $70,500 down to around $67,600, with a short-term decline of nearly 4%.
​Core Drivers: The market is affected by the aftershocks of the Bithumb misoperation incident and related statements from the U.S. Treasury Department, along with ETF net outflows, leading to a large-scale margin call (liquidation amount has exceeded $1 billion).
​2. Technical Indicator Analysis (24H Dimension)
​Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average (MA50) is currently around $67,800, providing psychological support. If the 4-hour candlestick closes below this level, the bearish target will be directly at the $65,000 round number.
​RSI: The 14-day RSI is currently around 43, not yet in the extreme oversold zone, but a sell signal has appeared on the daily chart.
​MACD: The fast and slow lines have formed a death cross above the zero line and continue to diverge downward, with the momentum histogram turning red, indicating short-term downward pressure persists.
​3. Future 24-hour Price Prediction
​As analysts, we mainly consider two scenarios:
​Scenario A: Bearish decline seeking a bottom formation (60% probability)
​Price oscillates between $67,500 and $68,500, trying to digest selling pressure. Currently, the Fear and Greed Index has dropped to extreme fear (around 11), and market sentiment is extremely fragile. It is highly likely that after the U.S. market opens, there will be a “gap test” around $66,300, followed by a slow rebound.
​Scenario B: Oversold rebound correction (40% probability)
​If the support at $67,500 remains strong and no new negative news emerges, a technical rebound may be triggered in the short term.
​First resistance level: $69,600
​Strong resistance: $70,500 (previous high, now turned from support to heavy resistance)
​4. Experienced Trading Recommendations (Alpha Note)
​Monitor liquidation charts: Currently, a large number of long stop-loss orders are stacked below $67,000. Major players are likely to trigger a quick “stop hunt” by breaking below $67,000 to clear leverage, then rapidly rebound.
​Aggressive Strategy: Watch for signs of stabilization in the $66,500 - $67,200 range, and gradually build positions to play the rebound.
​Conservative Strategy: Wait for a bottom formation on the 4-hour chart or stabilization above $69,000 before entering. #当前行情抄底还是观望？ #BTC价格预测