January 28, 2026 14:20, BTC quotes approximately $89,300, daily correction, 4-hour slightly bearish, short-term oscillation weak, awaiting Federal Reserve decision (29th 03:00) for guidance. The following are executable multi-scenario trading strategies.

1. Core Price Levels (USD)

- Support: 87,000-88,200 (short-term); 84,000-85,405 (medium-term strong support); 80,405 (deep correction)
- Resistance: 89,800-90,000 (short-term strong resistance); 90,500 (4-hour reversal threshold); 92,505 (trend turning bullish); 94,900-95,000 (daily strong resistance)

2. Technical Analysis

- Trend: Daily correction after decline, not a reversal; below 90,500 on 4-hour remains bearish.
- Indicators: RSI near resistance, insufficient volume, poor rebound sustainability, high probability of oscillation.
- Moving Averages/Channels: Lost upward channel lower boundary, short-term moving averages tangled, unclear direction.

3. Multi-Scenario Strategies (No leverage, position ≤30%)

1. Observation Strategy (Priority)
- Applicable: High uncertainty before the decision, avoid news shocks.
- Operation: patiently wait for price to break through/fall below key levels, or clarify direction after the decision before entering.

2. Rebound Resistance Strategy (High Short)
- Entry: Rebound to 89,800-90,000, gradually reduce positions or lightly short.
- Stop Loss: Above 90,500 (4-hour reversal point).
- Target: 88,200-87,000; break below targets 85,405.

3. Correction Stabilization Strategy (Low Long)
- Entry: Correction to 87,000-88,200 stabilize (e.g., bullish close, increased volume), lightly attempt long.
- Stop Loss: Below 86,500 (short-term support lower boundary).
- Target: 89,800-90,000; break below targets 90,500.

4. Breakout Confirmation Strategy (Follow-up Orders)
- Upward: Volume breakout above 90,500 and retest, add positions for long; target 92,505; stop loss below 90,000.
- Downward: Break below 85,405, exit; targets 84,000-80,405; near 85,405 rebound can lightly short.

4. Risk Control and Execution Points

- Position: Single asset ≤30%, avoid heavy positions; strict stop loss, do not hold through losses.
- Entry Conditions: Price + volume + indicator resonance required (e.g., volume breakout, RSI alignment).
- News: Volatility within 1-2 hours after the decision, observe first, then act; avoid chasing highs or selling lows.

5. Key Reminders

- Hawkish Decision: BTC may quickly retrace, prioritize shorting or observation.
- Dovish Decision: Favor rebounds and breakouts, watch for 90,500 and 92,505 breakouts.