With Jerome Powell’s term ending in May 2026, markets are actively pricing in who could become the next Federal Reserve Chair — and expectations are shifting fast. 🔹 Rick Rieder (BlackRock CIO) Currently the market favorite. Seen as pragmatic and market-savvy, his name has surged on prediction platforms after strong signals of confidence from Trump-aligned circles. 🔹 Kevin Warsh (Former Fed Governor) A familiar Fed insider with a hawkish-to-flexible stance. Often ranked second in prediction markets, especially among institutional traders. 🔹 Kevin Hassett (Trump Economic Adviser) Once the top favorite. Known for a pro-growth, rate-cut friendly outlook, making him politically aligned — but recent odds have cooled. 🔹 Christopher Waller (Current Fed Governor) The continuity option. Lower market odds, but still relevant if stability becomes the priority. 📌 Market takeaway: Investors are betting that the next Fed Chair will lean more dovish on rates, especially under political pressure to support growth and asset markets. ⚠️ Odds can shift rapidly until an official nomination — but for now, Rick Rieder leads the race.
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#NextFedChairPredictions
With Jerome Powell’s term ending in May 2026, markets are actively pricing in who could become the next Federal Reserve Chair — and expectations are shifting fast.
🔹 Rick Rieder (BlackRock CIO)
Currently the market favorite. Seen as pragmatic and market-savvy, his name has surged on prediction platforms after strong signals of confidence from Trump-aligned circles.
🔹 Kevin Warsh (Former Fed Governor)
A familiar Fed insider with a hawkish-to-flexible stance. Often ranked second in prediction markets, especially among institutional traders.
🔹 Kevin Hassett (Trump Economic Adviser)
Once the top favorite. Known for a pro-growth, rate-cut friendly outlook, making him politically aligned — but recent odds have cooled.
🔹 Christopher Waller (Current Fed Governor)
The continuity option. Lower market odds, but still relevant if stability becomes the priority.
📌 Market takeaway:
Investors are betting that the next Fed Chair will lean more dovish on rates, especially under political pressure to support growth and asset markets.
⚠️ Odds can shift rapidly until an official nomination — but for now, Rick Rieder leads the race.