Market Analysis Today: BTC in a Difficult Consolidation Phase

The Bitcoin market in recent times has been in a continuous tug-of-war state, with rapid ups and downs but lacking persistent trend strength. This is truly the most difficult type of market to trade: large fluctuation ranges but no sustained momentum, making it very easy to get “hit on both cheeks” if entering trades without proper precision. The buy strategy from yesterday could only realistically yield short-term gains. Making over 1,000 points was already satisfactory, and expecting to hold positions for the long term is almost impossible in the current context. Why Is the Market So Difficult to Play? Overall, this unpredictable up-and-down state is quite normal in the current phase: At the beginning of the year, major foreign institutions started restructuring their portfolios, with continuous inflows and outflows. At the end of the year, domestic capital enters a period of summarization and liquidity. Coupled with international instability, market sentiment becomes even more volatile. All these factors significantly increase the difficulty of trading. The Major Principles Remain Unchanged Despite the increased difficulty, the core principle remains the same: Buy Low – Sell High. During periods of strong volatility but lacking clear trends, entry points are much more important than trying to predict the direction. Limit chasing prices, prioritize selling in high zones and buying in low zones. Technical Perspective On the weekly chart, the overall trend still leans towards the buying side. This is a major premise for maintaining a trading mindset aligned with the main trend. On the 4-hour chart, the price is forming a “double leverage” candlestick structure, which often appears when buyers gradually regain dominance. However, clear signals are still needed before taking action. Reference Trading Strategy Risk-tolerant traders may consider opening long positions when the price retraces around 94,000. A defensive level of about 500 points to control risk. If the price remains above 96,000, consider continuing to hold in line with the trend. Conclusion The current phase is not an easy time to make big profits, but it is very suitable for disciplined, patient traders who know how to pick good entry points. Don’t rush, don’t chase prices, and always prioritize risk management. The market is still there, and opportunities will always arise for those who know how to wait.