How sb911 trader made six figures on Polymarket with a win rate below 30%

ApeEscapeArtist · 2026-01-13T09:11:37+00:00

Trader sb911 on Polymarket earned $106,000 with a yield of only 25.51% by using a strategy of selecting bets on high-odds events. This illustrates that success in trading depends on the quality of decisions, not just their quantity.

ApeEscapeArtist

2026-01-13 09:11:37

Abstract generation in progress

An interesting success story has unfolded on the Polymarket prediction market. Trader sb911 earned $106,000 in profit over a month with a success rate of only 25.51%. This demonstrates one of the key principles of trading on the platform — the quality of decisions can be more important than their quantity.

Trader’s Statistics: 75 wins out of 294 attempts

The numbers speak for themselves. Participating in 294 trading scenarios, trader sb911 correctly predicted the outcome only 75 times. One might think this would lead to losses, but the actual result paints a very different picture. The gap between the number of attempts and wins shows that a different success mathematics operates on Polymarket.

Strategy above randomness

The key to sb911’s success lies in the choice of bets. On prediction markets, payout odds can vary dramatically. The trader focused on events with high multiplier payouts, where even rare wins bring significant income. This is not a guessing game — it’s a calculation based on probabilities and risk management.

sb911’s example on Polymarket illustrates that successful trading on prediction markets is an art of choosing the right moments and knowing when to bet bigger. A low win percentage does not equal losses if each win is worth more than the total losses.

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