My Crypto Truth: By 2026, Don't Be Stuck with the "Cycle" Anymore

Those who have followed me for a long time know: I don’t like high-level theories, nor am I fond of complex models. Today, I want to speak frankly: why do some people turn 10,000 USDT into over 200,000 USDT, while others keep cutting losses and can’t get back on their feet? The answer is very simple: the market has changed, but your mindset is still stuck in the past. Forget the “Four-Year Cycle,” 2026 Is the Game of Structure In the past, everyone believed in the halving story – every four years, a bull run would follow. But in the last two years, that rule has become less effective. Why? Institutional money has entered the Bitcoin market, regarded as a reserve assetETF continuously buying in whales holding long-termMarket volatility narrowing In other words, Bitcoin is no longer just a gambling or speculative asset; it is gradually becoming a standard financial asset. Therefore, in 2026, the opportunity is not in a market-wide pump, but in three major structures: Bitcoin – The Neo Price Foundation ETF continues to accumulate. Every market correction brings in inflows. No more crazy surges, but also very hard to crash deeply. Bitcoin now resembles digitized gold – hold long-term, accumulate steadily, no need to guess the top or bottom. Stablecoin – Global Payment Infrastructure Total stablecoin market cap has surpassed 300 billion USD. Cross-border paymentsInternational money transfersFinancial settlement This is no longer just a trading tool but real financial infrastructure. Stablecoins are gradually becoming “blockchain version of USD.” RWA – Real Asset Tokenization US bonds, real estate, commodities… are all being brought onto blockchain. Traditional financial institutions have officially entered the scene. This is not a short-term trend – but a long-term trend for the entire financial industry. Practical Strategy for 2026: Simple but Effective The more complex the market, the simpler your approach must be. Below are the rules I am applying for the 2026 phase. Deep Dips? Find the Cause Before Entering In the past, I would rush to buy the dip after seeing a 5–7 day decline. Now, it’s different: If the project has a solid foundation, cash flow, and users → a dip is an opportunityIf it’s just a trend coin, no product, no application → no matter how much it dips, don’t touch Examples: AI infrastructure, RWA, payments → worth watchingMeme coins, trend-following coins → avoid Hot 30% Increase in Two Days? Sell Half Today’s market is dominated by bots, funds, algorithms. Individual investors cannot run faster than them. My rule: 30% profit → withdraw the principalRemaining profit to run itself No greed. No regrets. Long Sideways Movement? Only Enter with Volume Sideways isn’t scary. Fake breakouts are the real danger. Only enter when: Trading volume spikesSign of cooperation with traditional financeReal applications are deployed No volume → no entry. Choose Coins Based on Utility, Not Candlestick Patterns In 2026, just looking at charts is suicidal. Ask yourself: What is this coin used for?Are there real users?Is there real money flow? Examples: Stablecoin → check payment volumeBlockchain → see if there’s AI, RWA, consumer applications No utility → even a beautiful chart is a trap. Biggest Risk in 2026: Not Losing Money, But Doing Nothing Many people don’t lose because of bad trading, but because: They buy and then do nothing, neglect managementThey don’t follow macro trendsThey don’t update policies Three major warnings: Avoid projects with high FDV – Low LiquidityMarket cap illusionsToken lockupsEasy dumps upon unlock This is the most common trap of 2026. Monitor Policies and Interest Rates FED rate cut cyclesCrypto legislation in the USInstitutional money flows These are the real factors that determine bull – bear markets. Summary In 2026, crypto is no longer a casino. It’s a battlefield of perception. Strategy for individual investors: Hold Bitcoin long-termInvest in real infrastructure: RWA, AI blockchain, paymentsMake small trades, experiment oftenTake profits gradually, avoid all-inNo FOMO, avoid blindly chasing trends The market is full of opportunities. Only those with enough discipline to seize them will succeed. Do the simple things correctly, repeat every day — and you will be among the top 10% of winners.