Token Unlock Last Week of the Year: Opportunity or Risk with H, XPL, JUP?

From December 22 to 28, the cryptocurrency market is about to witness a series of unlock is what in the context of holiday season. Six major token releases will flood the circulation, with H, XPL, and JUP being the high-profile names closely watched by the market. What exactly is this, and why should investors pay attention?

Understanding Unlock Token: How It Works and Market Impact

Unlock is what in cryptocurrency language? Simply put, previously restricted tokens will become freely tradable. These tokens are often locked for internal project team members, early investors, advisors, or ecosystem development funds. When the lock period expires, they will be unlocked according to a predetermined schedule.

The issue lies in: when a large amount of tokens suddenly become tradable, selling pressure can increase significantly. However, not all unlocks lead to price drops. Everything depends on the unlock ratio, the selling behavior of recipients, and the overall market condition.

This week, events overlap with Christmas holidays, when liquidity typically diminishes. This can amplify the impact of any price movements.

Detailed Schedule of Token Unlocks This Week

Data from Tokenomist shows specific figures:

December 22 (12:00 PM UTC): MBG will unlock 15.84 million tokens worth $8.06 million. This is the most notable unlock with 8.42% of the current circulating supply (approximately 122.6 million tokens).

Early morning December 23: UDS releases 2.15 million tokens ($5.16 million) at 12:00 AM UTC, followed by SOON with 21.88 million tokens ($8.82 million) at 8:30 AM UTC.

December 25 (Christmas Day): Two major unlocks happen simultaneously. H unlocks 105 million tokens ($15.28 million) at 12:00 AM UTC—an objective figure considering the current supply of ~1.83 billion tokens. XPL follows with 88.89 million tokens ($11.5 million) at 12:00 PM UTC, accounting for 4.3% of the circulating supply @E0~2.07 billion tokens(.

December 28 )2:00 PM UTC(: JUP ends the week with 53.47 million tokens )$10.34 million(, only 1.73% of the ~3.19 billion tokens in circulation.

H, XPL, and JUP: Focused Analysis

These three projects deserve special attention. H )Humanity( with a $15.28 million unlock is the focal event. The 5.75% of the supply issued is not the largest, but the timing during Christmas creates an element of uncertainty.

XPL )Plasma( also occurs during the holiday with a scale of $11.5 million. The selling behavior of recipients will be key to determining the actual impact.

JUP )Jupiter(, although the smallest in scale )1.73%(, still marks the end of an active week. Historical data shows that larger projects on Solana tend to absorb selling pressure better.

Strategic Response for Investors

Here’s a practical approach:

First, analyze the percentage ratio. The larger the unlock )% of supply(, the higher the potential risk. MBG at 8.42% warrants closer observation compared to JUP at 1.73%.

Second, review historical data. Look back at previous unlocks for each project. Some tokens experience minor price fluctuations, others drop sharply. Historical data is your friend.

Third, identify token recipients. Tokens from team members/advisors tend to sell more than those from long-term strategic funds.

Fourth, assess macro conditions. Bullish markets will better absorb unlocks. Bear markets will amplify selling pressure.

Essential Risk Management Tools

• Monitor trading volume. Sudden spikes may signal unusual activity before/after unlock.
• Set appropriate stop-losses. If you hold affected tokens, define your tolerance levels.
• Consider DCA )Dollar Cost Averaging(. If you believe in the long-term platform, buy gradually rather than all at once.
• Pay attention to official announcements. Some projects announce measures to mitigate impact, such as extending lock periods or restricting sales.

Final Opinion

Unlock is what is not always a bad thing. Sometimes, they mark maturity milestones, attract new investors, and increase liquidity. The key is balancing short-term risk awareness with confidence in the project’s fundamentals.

The week of December 22-28 exemplifies how on-chain events interact with market dynamics. Holidays, low liquidity, and large unlocks all create a potential “storm perfect.” But a “perfect storm” can also be an opportunity if you know how to navigate it.

Keep track of unlock schedules, study on-chain data, listen to project team updates, and prepare contingency plans. That’s how to survive—and possibly thrive—in today’s volatile crypto market.