Bitcoin's Predictable Downturn Pattern: Why October 2026 Could Mark the Next Bottom

MetaMaskVictim · 2026-01-12T11:50:47+00:00

Bitcoin exhibits consistent price cycles, with approximately 1,064 days from market bottom to peak, and 364 days from peak to next bottom. Analysts predict a bottom near $37,500 by October 2026, emphasizing the importance of cycle dynamics for traders.

MetaMaskVictim

2026-01-12 11:50:47

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Bitcoin’s price movements aren’t as random as many traders believe. Market analysts have identified a striking pattern in BTC’s historical cycles that reveals a disciplined rhythm underlying its volatility.

The Bitcoin Cycle Timeline

Research shows that bitcoin follows surprisingly consistent temporal patterns:

Bull to bottom duration: Approximately 1,064 days elapse from a market bottom to the peak of the subsequent rally
Peak to next bottom duration: Around 364 days for the downturn phase from peak back to the next bottom

This 364-day downturn window represents the correction phase where the market transitions from euphoria to capitulation.

Applying the Pattern to Current Market Conditions

If this cyclical model holds true, bitcoin is currently positioned within a 364-day adjustment cycle. Based on this framework, analysts project that BTC could establish its next major bottom around October 2026.

The projected bottom price sits near $37,500, which would represent a substantial discount from BTC’s current trading level of $90.67K (as of January 12, 2026).

What This Means for Market Participants

Understanding these cycle dynamics helps traders contextualize current price action within a larger temporal framework. Rather than viewing the downturn as chaotic, the 364-day pattern suggests that corrections follow a predictable schedule.

The gap between current prices and projected bottom levels underscores the magnitude of potential downside, making this cycle analysis critical for portfolio positioning and risk management strategies.

BTC4,25%

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