2026-01-12 11:10:57

#MSCI未排除数字资产财库企业纳入范围 ⚠️ Is XMR facing a harsh reality: Is $100 really out of reach?

Recently, a more aggressive voice has emerged in the privacy coin market — by January 2026, XMR could fall below $100. Although it sounds extreme, if you look closely at regulatory trends and technological developments, this warning is worth taking seriously.

**Why so pessimistic?**

First is the regulatory shoe dropping. 2026 is the year when global compliance policies will truly be implemented; the pressure from the EU and mainstream trading platforms on privacy coins has reached a critical point. If an extreme scenario like "full network delisting" occurs, liquidity will rapidly dry up — at that point, a $100 drop is no longer a fantasy.

Second, look at the technical side. XMR is currently fluctuating around $500 (based on early 2026 data). If it breaks below $400, a strong support level, institutions may start to liquidate en masse, triggering a confidence spiral downward, directly returning to prices from three years ago.

The third perspective is more pragmatic: in the Ethereum ecosystem, privacy technologies like FHE are rapidly maturing, and native privacy coins are losing their status as "necessities." The narrative support is weakening.

**What should you do now?**

If you hold XMR, consider the following:

First, take profits in stages. The current price is close to historical highs; withdraw your principal first, and the remaining part is your real profit.

Second, closely monitor the policy trends of trading platforms. If you hear signals of "delisting" or "suspension," be prepared to exit quickly — don’t expect a rebound.

Third, if it really drops to $100, it might actually be an opportunity. The premise is that XMR can stabilize at that level; then it becomes a "bottom-fishing window" for privacy technology believers.

The bottom line: stay alert to risks, but don’t get scared silly.

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MemeTokenGenius

· 01-12 11:41

XMR$100? Will the regulation really come down so quickly? It feels a bit alarmist. But FHE really took a hit, and the narrative around privacy coins is becoming weaker and weaker. Instead of waiting for delisting, it's better to start withdrawing principal in batches now. Don't be greedy. When it truly drops to $100, I'll go all in, betting on it to turn around.

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0xLostKey

· 01-12 11:39

Regulation really can't be suppressed. If XMR gets delisted this time, crashing to the bottom isn't a dream.

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BridgeNomad

· 01-12 11:37

ngl, the liquidity fragmentation risk here is giving me serious flashbacks to the thorchain exploit postmortem... once exchanges start delisting, there's no optimal routing left, just panic sells on whatever dex has volume. $100 isn't crazy if we're talking counter-party risk on centralized platforms.

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ForkTrooper

· 01-12 11:27

Regulation really hangs over our heads... Honestly, it's hard to judge this wave of XMR. --- Is FHE here, and is there still a need for privacy coins? Really? --- I don't believe $100, but dropping to $200 is very possible. --- According to this logic, MSCI inclusion might actually push prices higher. Don't just focus on the pessimistic side. --- I don't understand why people keep bearish on XMR; the demand for privacy hasn't disappeared. --- This suggestion of taking profits in stages isn't bad; anyway, take profits when the time is right, that's the surest way. --- If it really gets delisted and liquidity dries up, that would be a nightmare. If you can run, run. --- Wait, FHE has matured, and indeed, XMR's uniqueness has been weakened. --- Isn't $500 around the level you all call the "ten-thousand-fold coin"? Why are we still discussing a drop? --- Are you trying to scare retail investors away from buying? Haha

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faded_wojak.eth

· 01-12 11:24

Regulation is finally coming, and XMR is really at risk. $100 is not a dream anymore.

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CryptoSurvivor

· 01-12 11:20

The talk of XMR dropping below $100 sounds like fear-mongering... but the regulatory threat hanging over us is indeed uncomfortable. Honestly, the days of privacy coins are truly tough. With new technologies like FHE emerging, our "necessity" status is really being eroded. However, I don't really believe it will drop below $100, unless it gets completely delisted across the entire network... but how likely is such an extreme scenario?

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NotAFinancialAdvice

· 01-12 11:18

The regulatory iron fist is really coming, and XMR will probably have to face reality this time. After FHE emerged, the status of native privacy coins is indeed awkward, but the position at $100 is actually worth watching.

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