In 2025, the story of cryptocurrencies is no longer a simple narrative of price fluctuations but a comprehensive redefinition involving national policies, financial regulation, technological upgrades, and crime fighting. After Bitcoin reached a historic high of $126,000 in October, the market did not continue its upward trajectory as expected but instead adjusted to around $90,910 by year-end. Behind this “stagnation” lie deeper changes: cryptocurrencies are evolving from fringe speculative assets into an indispensable infrastructure layer within the global financial system.
This shift is not driven by technological breakthroughs or retail frenzy but by the collective entry of state-level players, traditional banks, regulators, and large-scale criminal organizations.
National Reserve Policies: From “Illicit Goods” to “Strategic Assets”
On March 6, the U.S. President signed an executive order establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve—a bureaucratic move that redefined the relationship between the state and cryptocurrencies. This reserve includes approximately 200,000 Bitcoins seized through law enforcement actions such as Silk Road, along with future holdings.
Although the number—about 200,000 BTC—only accounts for roughly 1% of the total Bitcoin supply, it sends a political signal: the government no longer treats seized crypto assets as illicit goods to be auctioned off for cash but as part of national wealth.
The true power of this policy lies in its demonstration effect. Once the U.S. establishes an attitude that “Bitcoin is worth holding as a reserve,” other countries and central banks gain political cover to follow suit openly. It also removes a long-standing market pressure: the government will no longer regularly auction seized Bitcoins but instead continue accumulating them.
Formalization of Stablecoins
In July, the U.S. Congress passed the “Genius Act,” creating the first comprehensive federal framework for USD-backed stablecoins. The legislation allows insured banks to issue stablecoins through subsidiaries and opens a parallel licensing pathway for non-bank entities.
The significance of this law is not in technological innovation but in regulatory recognition—stablecoins are formally upgraded from regulatory gray areas to licensed financial products, subject to the same deposit insurance, capital requirements, and prudential rules as traditional financial institutions.
This results in a reshuffling of market structures. Banks that previously avoided this space can now launch products under familiar rules, while existing non-bank issuers face a dilemma: apply for federal licenses and accept stricter regulation or risk losing banking partnerships.
Meanwhile, the EU’s MiCA regulation enters full implementation, and major jurisdictions like Hong Kong, the UK, and Australia are rolling out their own crypto asset frameworks. These seemingly independent regulatory initiatives are forming a global compliance network—small exchanges and platforms are forced to choose between “accepting multi-jurisdictional licensing complexity” and “exiting mainstream markets.”
The outcome is increased market concentration: only well-capitalized, compliant players can operate across multiple jurisdictions, while small and medium-sized firms are either acquired or relocate to regulatory “safe havens.”
ETF Industrialization and Institutional Capital Influx
In 2025, Bitcoin spot ETFs attracted $22 billion in net inflows, while Ethereum spot ETFs brought in $6.2 billion—this is not marginal demand but a systemic distribution mechanism transformation.
The U.S. SEC adopted a universal listing standard, allowing exchanges to list qualifying crypto asset ETFs without individual applications. Analysts expect over 100 new crypto-related ETFs and ETNs to launch in 2026, covering altcoins, basket strategies, cash yield products, and leveraged exposure.
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) became one of the largest ETFs globally within months of listing, attracting hundreds of billions of dollars from wealth management, registered investment advisors, and target-date funds. The key shift is that Bitcoin and Ethereum are no longer exotic assets but standard components in diversified investment portfolios.
Once an asset class can be sliced, packaged, and embedded into multi-asset allocations without regulatory resistance, it ceases to be a “fringe speculative asset” and becomes infrastructure.
Scaling Stablecoins and On-Chain Cash Markets
In 2025, stablecoin supply surpassed $309 billion, marking a move beyond DeFi experiments into real settlement channels. Simultaneously, tokenized U.S. Treasuries and money market funds on-chain hold a combined value of about $9 billion, forming a complete “on-chain cash and fixed income” ecosystem.
Data shows that transfer volumes of stablecoins and real-world assets are comparable to some credit card networks. In other words, the scale of transactions conducted via stablecoins has reached the level of traditional payment infrastructure.
This raises regulatory challenges: if stablecoins process trillions of dollars daily and bypass traditional payment networks, who will regulate these flows? Is risk overly concentrated among a few issuers? What happens if one issuer loses banking relationships or faces a bank run?
The success of these tools makes them “too important to ignore,” which explains why frameworks like the GENIUS Act and MiCA are emerging—scale requires rules.
Ethereum’s Scalability Realized
In May and December, Ethereum launched two key upgrades: Pectra and Fusaka. Pectra integrated the Prague execution layer with the Electra consensus layer, improving account abstraction and staking mechanisms; Fusaka increased the effective gas limit and introduced PeerDAS data sampling, further expanding blob capacity.
Analysts expect mainstream layer-2 solutions’ fees to drop to 40% of current levels. This is not just theoretical; it’s a tangible improvement verified by actual code upgrades.
These upgrades turn Ethereum’s long-discussed scalability roadmap into measurable performance gains. Cheaper, higher-capacity rollups make in-Ethereum payments, trading, and gaming applications feasible, rather than forcing users to migrate to other layer-1 blockchains.
Simultaneously, this shifts value accrual logic. If most user activity moves to layer-2, base layer Ethereum fee revenue will decline, while layer-2 native tokens and sequencers will capture more profits. This upgrade initiates a redistribution of value, with observable changes in layer-2 tokens and base layer MEV dynamics within the year.
Memecoin Industry and Social Backlash
In 2025, memecoins transitioned from fringe phenomena to industrial machines. On a single NFT minting platform, users created nearly 9.4 million memecoins, totaling over 14.7 million since January 2024.
Celebrity tokens and political tokens surged, and the platform faced a class-action lawsuit for allegedly facilitating “Ponzi-like pump-and-dump scams.” Industry insiders’ attitudes shifted from “an interesting phenomenon” to “a reputation risk and capital black hole.”
This wave exposed structural contradictions in crypto: permissionless platforms that attempt to censor listings violate core decentralization principles; but allowing any project to launch invites legal liabilities and regulatory crackdowns.
It also prompted regulators to scrutinize issuing platforms, establish user protection rules, and set standards for “fair issuance,” influencing how serious projects differentiate from purely extractive schemes.
Industrial-Scale Cross-Border Crime Threat
Chainalysis data shows that in 2025, criminal organizations from certain countries stole a record $2 billion in crypto, with a single incident reaching $1.5 billion—about 60% of all reported crypto thefts that year. Cumulatively, these groups have stolen $6.75 billion.
Meanwhile, a scam ecosystem based on stablecoins and primarily operated via Telegram has become the largest illegal online marketplace in history, involving hundreds of billions of dollars in “pump-and-dump” schemes. These criminal groups operate at a scale comparable to Fortune 500 companies, with customer service centers, training manuals, and tech stacks optimized for fund extraction.
This scale has driven stricter KYC, on-chain monitoring, wallet blacklists, and bank de-risking measures. It also gives regulators more reasons to tighten controls on stablecoin issuers, mixers, and permissionless protocols—shaping the boundaries of next-generation compliant infrastructure.
Circle’s IPO and the Resumption of Crypto Company Financing
In 2025, a stablecoin issuer’s listing on the NYSE raised about $1 billion, becoming a headline in the crypto IPO wave. Crypto companies, exchanges, miners, and infrastructure firms listed or expressed interest in going public in Hong Kong, forming a “second wave” of publicly traded crypto firms after 2021.
The significance of IPOs is not just in fundraising but in enforcing transparency. Public companies must disclose revenue sources, customer concentration, regulatory exposure, and cash burn—details that private firms often avoid. Once these financials are public, regulators and competitors can precisely assess the profitability of stablecoin issuance, influencing policies on capital requirements and whether this business model should be subject to bank-like regulation.
Current Position of Bitcoin and Market Specialization
The correction in Q4 (from the $126,000 high to around $90,910) reflects deep structural changes. Narratives, capital flows, and loose monetary policy are no longer sufficient to sustain continuous growth amid thin liquidity, crowded positions, and uncertain macro outlooks.
Derivatives markets, basis trading, and institutional risk controls now dominate Bitcoin’s price movements, rather than retail “price rally” momentum. This means that ETF demand, corporate treasury holdings, or national reserves do not guarantee a straight upward price trajectory. The market has entered a highly professionalized phase, shifting toward hedging, leverage, and arbitrage positions.
Recognized Facts and Unresolved Challenges in 2025
Looking back over the year, cryptocurrencies have evolved from retail-driven, loosely regulated trading scenes into near-controversial financial infrastructure. States and banks are asserting ownership over key layers: reserve policies, stablecoin issuance, custody, and exchange licensing. Regulations in major jurisdictions are tightening, market structure is becoming more centralized, and entry barriers are rising.
Several facts are now clear: Bitcoin is now a reserve asset, no longer an illicit good. Stablecoins are licensed products, no longer orphaned by regulation. Ethereum’s scalability roadmap has become actual code, not just talk. ETFs are distribution mechanisms for institutional exposure, not regulatory exceptions.
But tougher questions remain: when stablecoin liquidity reaches credit card network levels, how will regulation adapt? How will crypto value be distributed among base layers, rollups, custodians, and service providers? If permissionless platforms cannot effectively combat industry-wide scams, can they survive without deviating from their core purpose?
These answers will determine the trajectory of crypto development over the next five years—whether it will follow the early internet’s open path, ultimately tilting toward centralized platforms, or evolve into a more complex landscape where states, banks, and decentralized protocols compete for the same liquidity stack, with funds and users flowing to providers with the least resistance and strongest legal certainty.
The only certainty is that 2025 has ended the illusion that cryptocurrencies can remain permissionless, unregulated, and systemically important at the same time. The only question now is which of these three will make the first concession.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
The 2025 Cryptocurrency Reshaping the Financial Landscape: From Edge to Infrastructure Turning Point
In 2025, the story of cryptocurrencies is no longer a simple narrative of price fluctuations but a comprehensive redefinition involving national policies, financial regulation, technological upgrades, and crime fighting. After Bitcoin reached a historic high of $126,000 in October, the market did not continue its upward trajectory as expected but instead adjusted to around $90,910 by year-end. Behind this “stagnation” lie deeper changes: cryptocurrencies are evolving from fringe speculative assets into an indispensable infrastructure layer within the global financial system.
This shift is not driven by technological breakthroughs or retail frenzy but by the collective entry of state-level players, traditional banks, regulators, and large-scale criminal organizations.
National Reserve Policies: From “Illicit Goods” to “Strategic Assets”
On March 6, the U.S. President signed an executive order establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve—a bureaucratic move that redefined the relationship between the state and cryptocurrencies. This reserve includes approximately 200,000 Bitcoins seized through law enforcement actions such as Silk Road, along with future holdings.
Although the number—about 200,000 BTC—only accounts for roughly 1% of the total Bitcoin supply, it sends a political signal: the government no longer treats seized crypto assets as illicit goods to be auctioned off for cash but as part of national wealth.
The true power of this policy lies in its demonstration effect. Once the U.S. establishes an attitude that “Bitcoin is worth holding as a reserve,” other countries and central banks gain political cover to follow suit openly. It also removes a long-standing market pressure: the government will no longer regularly auction seized Bitcoins but instead continue accumulating them.
Formalization of Stablecoins
In July, the U.S. Congress passed the “Genius Act,” creating the first comprehensive federal framework for USD-backed stablecoins. The legislation allows insured banks to issue stablecoins through subsidiaries and opens a parallel licensing pathway for non-bank entities.
The significance of this law is not in technological innovation but in regulatory recognition—stablecoins are formally upgraded from regulatory gray areas to licensed financial products, subject to the same deposit insurance, capital requirements, and prudential rules as traditional financial institutions.
This results in a reshuffling of market structures. Banks that previously avoided this space can now launch products under familiar rules, while existing non-bank issuers face a dilemma: apply for federal licenses and accept stricter regulation or risk losing banking partnerships.
Meanwhile, the EU’s MiCA regulation enters full implementation, and major jurisdictions like Hong Kong, the UK, and Australia are rolling out their own crypto asset frameworks. These seemingly independent regulatory initiatives are forming a global compliance network—small exchanges and platforms are forced to choose between “accepting multi-jurisdictional licensing complexity” and “exiting mainstream markets.”
The outcome is increased market concentration: only well-capitalized, compliant players can operate across multiple jurisdictions, while small and medium-sized firms are either acquired or relocate to regulatory “safe havens.”
ETF Industrialization and Institutional Capital Influx
In 2025, Bitcoin spot ETFs attracted $22 billion in net inflows, while Ethereum spot ETFs brought in $6.2 billion—this is not marginal demand but a systemic distribution mechanism transformation.
The U.S. SEC adopted a universal listing standard, allowing exchanges to list qualifying crypto asset ETFs without individual applications. Analysts expect over 100 new crypto-related ETFs and ETNs to launch in 2026, covering altcoins, basket strategies, cash yield products, and leveraged exposure.
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) became one of the largest ETFs globally within months of listing, attracting hundreds of billions of dollars from wealth management, registered investment advisors, and target-date funds. The key shift is that Bitcoin and Ethereum are no longer exotic assets but standard components in diversified investment portfolios.
Once an asset class can be sliced, packaged, and embedded into multi-asset allocations without regulatory resistance, it ceases to be a “fringe speculative asset” and becomes infrastructure.
Scaling Stablecoins and On-Chain Cash Markets
In 2025, stablecoin supply surpassed $309 billion, marking a move beyond DeFi experiments into real settlement channels. Simultaneously, tokenized U.S. Treasuries and money market funds on-chain hold a combined value of about $9 billion, forming a complete “on-chain cash and fixed income” ecosystem.
Data shows that transfer volumes of stablecoins and real-world assets are comparable to some credit card networks. In other words, the scale of transactions conducted via stablecoins has reached the level of traditional payment infrastructure.
This raises regulatory challenges: if stablecoins process trillions of dollars daily and bypass traditional payment networks, who will regulate these flows? Is risk overly concentrated among a few issuers? What happens if one issuer loses banking relationships or faces a bank run?
The success of these tools makes them “too important to ignore,” which explains why frameworks like the GENIUS Act and MiCA are emerging—scale requires rules.
Ethereum’s Scalability Realized
In May and December, Ethereum launched two key upgrades: Pectra and Fusaka. Pectra integrated the Prague execution layer with the Electra consensus layer, improving account abstraction and staking mechanisms; Fusaka increased the effective gas limit and introduced PeerDAS data sampling, further expanding blob capacity.
Analysts expect mainstream layer-2 solutions’ fees to drop to 40% of current levels. This is not just theoretical; it’s a tangible improvement verified by actual code upgrades.
These upgrades turn Ethereum’s long-discussed scalability roadmap into measurable performance gains. Cheaper, higher-capacity rollups make in-Ethereum payments, trading, and gaming applications feasible, rather than forcing users to migrate to other layer-1 blockchains.
Simultaneously, this shifts value accrual logic. If most user activity moves to layer-2, base layer Ethereum fee revenue will decline, while layer-2 native tokens and sequencers will capture more profits. This upgrade initiates a redistribution of value, with observable changes in layer-2 tokens and base layer MEV dynamics within the year.
Memecoin Industry and Social Backlash
In 2025, memecoins transitioned from fringe phenomena to industrial machines. On a single NFT minting platform, users created nearly 9.4 million memecoins, totaling over 14.7 million since January 2024.
Celebrity tokens and political tokens surged, and the platform faced a class-action lawsuit for allegedly facilitating “Ponzi-like pump-and-dump scams.” Industry insiders’ attitudes shifted from “an interesting phenomenon” to “a reputation risk and capital black hole.”
This wave exposed structural contradictions in crypto: permissionless platforms that attempt to censor listings violate core decentralization principles; but allowing any project to launch invites legal liabilities and regulatory crackdowns.
It also prompted regulators to scrutinize issuing platforms, establish user protection rules, and set standards for “fair issuance,” influencing how serious projects differentiate from purely extractive schemes.
Industrial-Scale Cross-Border Crime Threat
Chainalysis data shows that in 2025, criminal organizations from certain countries stole a record $2 billion in crypto, with a single incident reaching $1.5 billion—about 60% of all reported crypto thefts that year. Cumulatively, these groups have stolen $6.75 billion.
Meanwhile, a scam ecosystem based on stablecoins and primarily operated via Telegram has become the largest illegal online marketplace in history, involving hundreds of billions of dollars in “pump-and-dump” schemes. These criminal groups operate at a scale comparable to Fortune 500 companies, with customer service centers, training manuals, and tech stacks optimized for fund extraction.
This scale has driven stricter KYC, on-chain monitoring, wallet blacklists, and bank de-risking measures. It also gives regulators more reasons to tighten controls on stablecoin issuers, mixers, and permissionless protocols—shaping the boundaries of next-generation compliant infrastructure.
Circle’s IPO and the Resumption of Crypto Company Financing
In 2025, a stablecoin issuer’s listing on the NYSE raised about $1 billion, becoming a headline in the crypto IPO wave. Crypto companies, exchanges, miners, and infrastructure firms listed or expressed interest in going public in Hong Kong, forming a “second wave” of publicly traded crypto firms after 2021.
The significance of IPOs is not just in fundraising but in enforcing transparency. Public companies must disclose revenue sources, customer concentration, regulatory exposure, and cash burn—details that private firms often avoid. Once these financials are public, regulators and competitors can precisely assess the profitability of stablecoin issuance, influencing policies on capital requirements and whether this business model should be subject to bank-like regulation.
Current Position of Bitcoin and Market Specialization
The correction in Q4 (from the $126,000 high to around $90,910) reflects deep structural changes. Narratives, capital flows, and loose monetary policy are no longer sufficient to sustain continuous growth amid thin liquidity, crowded positions, and uncertain macro outlooks.
Derivatives markets, basis trading, and institutional risk controls now dominate Bitcoin’s price movements, rather than retail “price rally” momentum. This means that ETF demand, corporate treasury holdings, or national reserves do not guarantee a straight upward price trajectory. The market has entered a highly professionalized phase, shifting toward hedging, leverage, and arbitrage positions.
Recognized Facts and Unresolved Challenges in 2025
Looking back over the year, cryptocurrencies have evolved from retail-driven, loosely regulated trading scenes into near-controversial financial infrastructure. States and banks are asserting ownership over key layers: reserve policies, stablecoin issuance, custody, and exchange licensing. Regulations in major jurisdictions are tightening, market structure is becoming more centralized, and entry barriers are rising.
Several facts are now clear: Bitcoin is now a reserve asset, no longer an illicit good. Stablecoins are licensed products, no longer orphaned by regulation. Ethereum’s scalability roadmap has become actual code, not just talk. ETFs are distribution mechanisms for institutional exposure, not regulatory exceptions.
But tougher questions remain: when stablecoin liquidity reaches credit card network levels, how will regulation adapt? How will crypto value be distributed among base layers, rollups, custodians, and service providers? If permissionless platforms cannot effectively combat industry-wide scams, can they survive without deviating from their core purpose?
These answers will determine the trajectory of crypto development over the next five years—whether it will follow the early internet’s open path, ultimately tilting toward centralized platforms, or evolve into a more complex landscape where states, banks, and decentralized protocols compete for the same liquidity stack, with funds and users flowing to providers with the least resistance and strongest legal certainty.
The only certainty is that 2025 has ended the illusion that cryptocurrencies can remain permissionless, unregulated, and systemically important at the same time. The only question now is which of these three will make the first concession.