U.S. federal prosecutors have launched a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, triggering immediate market repricing in prediction platforms. On Polymarket, the probability of his departure has surged to 12%, while Kalshi reflects an even higher 19% odds. The sudden development signals growing political pressure on the nation's top monetary policymaker, with implications rippling across traditional finance and crypto markets alike. For traders monitoring macroeconomic headwinds, this development adds another layer of uncertainty to Fed policy continuity. Market participants are closely watching how this unfolds, as any leadership transition at the Federal Reserve could reshape interest rate expectations and asset valuations across the board.