A critical gap many overlook: the developer incentive problem in projects like BagsApp versus the solution BagsHackathon brings. The core issue? When a developer already operates an existing business, claiming protocol fees creates negative expected value—we've seen this exact pattern with meme coin creators throughout the past cycle. The real challenge isn't just reading the market; it's managing the tension between speculative incentives and actual developer behavior. Projects that fail to address this fundamental misalignment often struggle against both chart dynamics and community skepticism.