On Wednesday, the U.S. Supreme Court may make a critical ruling, and this decision is quietly changing market expectations. If the court determines that Trump's tariff policies are illegal, the federal government will need to refund over $200 billion to importers—once this massive sum flows into the market, the ripple effects could be far more complex than imagined.

An interesting reversal is unfolding. The Treasury Department recently stepped in to stabilize public opinion, emphasizing that the treasury's financial position is sound and that refunds will not trigger a fiscal crisis. Instead, they could become a new variable in the market. From initial risk warnings to now calming language, the government's shift in tone is itself a signal.

What does this mean for ordinary people and market participants? First, the influx of refunds could ease inflationary pressures, potentially lowering consumer costs. Second, increased cash holdings among companies mean they have more capital for investment and expansion. But most importantly—if this money enters the financial markets, stocks, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies could experience a new wave of capital-driven growth.

Traders of mainstream coins like SOL, ZEC, and others are already reassessing this variable. Institutional investors are adjusting their positions overnight, anticipating the market re-pricing that could come with this policy turning point on Wednesday. The market volatility this week might serve as an important reference point for 2025—whether you're a holder or a watcher, this event is worth paying attention to.

A macroeconomic and market game is underway. The verdict will be clear by Wednesday.