The Federal Reserve's rate cut this month is essentially unlikely, and the pause has become a settled stance. But this is not bad news—looking ahead, there are two key time windows in 2026 worth marking: June and September, with a high probability of rate cuts landing in both periods. This also reaffirms my previous judgment that a strong market rally is likely to occur in the third quarter.

Why am I so confident? Let’s analyze from a macro perspective. Once the Fed’s rate cut expectations heat up, global liquidity will increase accordingly, and a large amount of capital will naturally flow into high-yield assets. The cryptocurrency market happens to be one of the most attractive targets. Historical experience also confirms this—whenever liquidity is released, the crypto space tends to see capital-driven surges.

There’s also a detail that’s easy to overlook. As the third quarter’s World Cup enthusiasm fades, the funding chain around the event will break. Remember the crazy surges of fan coins and football concept coins during past World Cups? Those funds won’t disappear into thin air; they are highly likely to seek the next investment opportunity, and the crypto space will be a good landing spot.

Opportunity windows pass in the blink of an eye. Now is the time to start observing market rhythms and prepare in advance. Like and bookmark the information you find useful, and see you in the next cycle in the crypto world.