Many traders spend half a day analyzing candlestick charts, trend lines, and various indicators, yet rarely ask themselves one question: Am I really making money?

Having been active in the crypto space for years, I have experienced the shift from fanaticism for technical analysis to complete skepticism. The complex indicator systems and pattern recognition methods once seemed highly professional, but the results showed that accounts always profited in bull markets and lost in bear markets, cycle after cycle. Only when I changed my mindset did I find a truly effective approach.

The performance over the past three months is enough to prove the point: the account grew from 8,000 USDT to 120,000 USDT, achieving five consecutive doubles, with intraday profit-taking rates consistently above 80%. This is not luck, but a system that can be repeated.

**Understanding where the funds are going is far more important than predicting market trends**

The most common trap in the crypto world is confidence in predicting market movements. Analyzing daily with confidence, only to be caught off guard when a real turning point arrives. Instead of obsessively guessing the next move, it’s better to focus on the real flow of funds.

The daily focus is simple: where are the on-chain funds of large holders flowing? The key indicators here are Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) and the relative position of the total market cap excluding Bitcoin (Total2). When BTC.D begins to weaken and Total2 rises, it indicates that big money is gradually shifting from Bitcoin to other coins—usually a sign that the altcoin season is starting.

Rather than relying on intuition to gauge market sentiment, it’s better to observe these genuine energy flows. On-chain movements of large wallets, sudden increases in project order book depth, changes in trading volume across pairs—these are tangible signals that are more reliable than any technical indicator.

**From passive prediction to active observation**

The core of the change lies in mindset. Abandon the obsession with "I can see through the market in advance," and instead adopt "I follow the funds that are already moving." This may sound like lowering expectations, but in reality, it increases the chances of success.

Because market participants number in the thousands, no one can predict everything perfectly. But the flow of funds is transparent and observable. When you understand what institutions and large holders are doing, rather than guessing what they will do next, your decision-making basis shifts from vague assumptions to concrete data.

This approach has been mocked by many as too simple, but it is this "simplicity" that makes account growth relatively stable. Three months of consecutive gains are not luck but a process that can be continuously repeated.