#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 Recently, I came across an interesting clash of viewpoints. During the market rally in November last year, a trader once claimed that $BTC could reach $200,000 within 50 days. Looking back now, this prediction clearly did not come true.

In response, a seasoned chart analyst shared his opinion—he straightforwardly said: "I don't really believe in people who are obsessed with defending their stance and persona." That statement sounds a bit harsh, but his logic is actually very direct. He emphasizes that he cares more about the trading process itself rather than whether a specific price target or viewpoint can be validated.

This reflects a consensus among analysts in the crypto circle: reliable traders usually don't stubbornly stick to a particular prediction but instead adjust their strategies based on market signals. Those who overpromise and insist on blowing their predictions out of proportion often end up getting burned the hardest.

Of course, the US economic data at the start of 2025 is also influencing market rhythm. Recently, the non-farm payroll data has underperformed expectations, adding more variables to the short-term market. In the face of such uncertainty, sticking to the process and following it steadily might be more reliable than blindly following the predictions of some big V.