2026-01-12 02:20:48

#美国贸易赤字状况 January 12, Monday $BTC Market Observation

Bitcoin repeatedly tested the 90,000 level over the weekend, with support gradually strengthening. After the market opened, buying momentum continued, and bullish energy kept releasing, making the market trend increasingly clear. As per the previous analysis framework, even with several fluctuations in between, the overall outlook for the first quarter of this year remains unchanged — the deployment rhythm of this wave of行情 stays consistent.

Looking at the daily chart, a pattern of consecutive bullish days combined with oscillating consolidation has appeared, indicating that upward momentum is being accumulated. The longer the sideways movement lasts, the greater the potential for subsequent upward space — this is a well-known market rule, but it is especially evident now. From a technical perspective: the 15-day and 30-day moving averages form a double support grid at the 90,000 level, RSI is in a neutral to slightly strong range, MACD shows a bullish crossover, and buying strength is being systematically accumulated, preparing for the next upward push.

Key resistance to watch is at 95,000, which is not only a previous high but also an area with dense institutional trading activity. Whether a smooth breakthrough occurs here is crucial — if broken, the 100,000 psychological level is not far away, provided volume supports it; if it fails to hold, $BTC will likely retreat back into the 90,000-92,000 range for repeated digestion.

The current market has clearly shifted to driven by large funds, with spot ETF capital inflows and long-term holders’ reluctance to sell jointly supporting the bulls. The trading approach remains aligned with the bullish rhythm, with 90,000 as a defensive line below. Pay close attention to volume performance during the breakthrough of 95,000 and adjust positions flexibly.

Morning trading reference: gradually build long positions around 91,000 and 90,000, targeting 93,500 and 95,000. Also monitor the linkage between $ETH and $SOL , as the overall market sentiment leans toward risk appetite.

BTC1,46%

ETH1,55%

SOL0,13%

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TopEscapeArtist

· 13h ago

95000 is the threshold. I'm thinking it's another institutional accumulation scheme. The MACD golden cross sounds good, but last time it was the same, and the price just dropped back to 92000 to eat the dip.

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AirDropMissed

· 01-12 02:50

Can the 95,000 level really be broken? It feels like institutions are blocking the door.

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LiquidationHunter

· 01-12 02:50

90,000 is holding quite steadily, feels like this time we're really going to break 95,000. --- I'm tired of hearing the "sideways accumulation" explanation, but now I do feel something different. --- Institutional support? Then I feel more confident going long; anyway, I can't make big money but I won't lose too much. --- Is 95,000 really that difficult? I think we should break through it. --- Wait, is there really that much inflow into spot ETFs? I haven't felt it. --- I've long dreamed of crossing the 100,000 mark haha, but we're still hovering around 90,000. --- Volume needs to match this; I've heard it a hundred times, but it's indeed very important. --- ETH and SOL moving in tandem? Then I'll just hold onto BTC tightly—simple and straightforward. --- I agree with going long at 91,000 in the morning, but we need to be prepared for a pullback. --- Risk appetite? These two words in the crypto world are just a synonym for "all in."

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OneBlockAtATime

· 01-12 02:50

Whether the 95,000 level can be broken is really the key. If it breaks through, it will head straight to 100,000; if it doesn't, it will have to come back and grind repeatedly.

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rugpull_survivor

· 01-12 02:31

Haha, testing 90000 again. This time, I really feel confident it will hold. If I can't break through 95000, I'll just clear my positions and go to sleep. Bro, this analysis framework is reliable. I'm betting $100 that next week we'll hit 100,000. After being sideways for so long, there's plenty of room. I've heard that for three years now, hahaha. Are institutions pushing the market? Let's wait and see the inflow data of the spot ETF. See you at 93500. Don't miss it!

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TokenomicsDetective

· 01-12 02:29

90,000 this level has been tested for so long, institutions are definitely holding back their big moves --- If 95,000 can be broken, it feels like 100k is really stable --- The longer the sideways movement, the greater the room for growth. Can this be truly validated this time? --- Golden cross + double support, sounds very promising, just worried it might be a false signal again --- The inflow of funds into spot ETFs is indeed different this time, it feels like the bulls have more confidence --- Volume cooperation is the key; breakouts without volume are all fake --- Building a long position at 91,000 might be a bit aggressive; this level is too easy to be smashed down --- The correlation between ETH and SOL depends on whether Ethereum can keep up with the pace, otherwise it’s easy to fall behind --- If it loses 92,000, it will directly drop back to the 90s? It seems the downside space is well protected --- Large capital-driven judgments are reliable; retail investors have already been shaken out long ago

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UnluckyLemur

· 01-12 02:22

90,000 has been stuck for so long, it really feels like a breakthrough is coming, but we also need to be cautious about the 95,000 critical threshold. --- 连续上涨加横盘，老套路了，但这波能量确实在积累啊。 --- 只怕成交量不足，突破95,000光靠吹牛没用吧。 --- ETH and SOL are still following the trend, this is truly risk appetite. --- Spot ETF has been continuously pouring in money, this signal is genuine. --- It's the 100,000 dream again, always saying that, let's talk after a real breakthrough. --- The 90,000-92,000 range feels like it will repeatedly torment us. --- Looking at the 15-day and 30-day moving averages as double support, it’s quite interesting. --- I believe in the MACD golden cross, but the premise is that volume must keep up. --- Institutions are heavily trading around 95,000, indicating they share the same view. --- This bullish support feels more reliable than last time; long-term holders are really reluctant to sell.

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