#密码资产动态追踪 Another exhausting week. Market fluctuations have led many to exit, but those who persevere know — this is just a phase in the process.$BTC $ETH

Recently, there is a noteworthy signal: the trend of global oil prices. The Goldman Sachs commodities research team recently released an analysis predicting that oil prices will face sustained downward pressure this year. Why? The reason is straightforward — global oil inventories continue to rise, with the market facing an oversupply of 2.3 million barrels per day. Unless OPEC significantly cuts production or there is a major supply disruption, it will be difficult for the market to quickly regain balance, and this process could extend into 2026.

Specifically, Goldman Sachs forecasts that the average Brent crude oil price in 2026 will be around $56 per barrel, and WTI crude oil around $52 per barrel. Although geopolitical risks still exist and may cause short-term volatility, the "dam" effect on the supply side has become a certainty.

Why bring this up? Because the price trends of commodities often influence the global liquidity environment, which in turn triggers chain reactions in the crypto market. Falling oil prices usually indicate adjustments in inflation expectations, serving as an important signal for the entire financial market. Therefore, paying attention to macro factors can sometimes provide a deeper understanding of market logic than just watching candlestick charts.

Persevere, but don't be blindly optimistic.