2026-01-12 01:24:32

Opening is a carnival. On Monday, the market exploded—gold jumped $10, silver surged over 1%, and crude oil also opened higher. The main culprit behind this? The weekend's US operations regarding Iran.

Once the geopolitical powder keg is ignited, the global capital response is very direct. Everyone rushes into "safe haven" assets like crazy. These days, geopolitical risks have become a hard currency—any slight disturbance can send traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver soaring.

How long can this safe-haven rally last? No one dares to make a guarantee. How will the Iran situation unfold? The key lies in the game of international politics. But one thing is certain: as long as the geopolitical situation remains unstable, capital will continuously flow into safe-haven assets. Market money won't stay idle.

What do you think of this situation? Will the Iran situation escalate further? Share your judgment in the comments.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
9
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

tokenomics_truther

· 14h ago

Geopolitical tensions cause gold to rise whenever they flare up, which is essentially a market reflex. Once again, safe-haven assets are being heavily speculated on. I really don't know when this money will flow into tangible development. If Iran's situation truly escalates this time, how long the safe-haven rally can last remains uncertain. Are geopolitical risks considered hard currency? Basically, it's global instability. The frenzy in financial markets is built on real-world anxiety. This kind of market can't last long; any progress in political negotiations will immediately trigger a reversal. It's easy to get caught in short-term trades; let's wait and see. The recent surge in gold and silver seems to be heading for a correction, as capital flow is too concentrated. With political uncertainty, someone will always buy safe-haven assets—it's the old routine.

View OriginalReply0

SignatureDenied

· 17h ago

It's the same old geopolitical situation, and gold and silver start to dance, the套路太熟了 --- When Iran sneezes, the whole world catches a cold. Is that all the capital's imagination? --- How long can the safe-haven rally last... feels like the heat comes quickly and goes just as fast --- Basically, it's the US taking action, everything else is on the sidelines. The chessboard is still played by the same few --- The recent surge in gold, the feeling of cutting leeks is ridiculously strong --- The idea that geopolitical risks are hard currency isn't wrong, but don't forget political winds can reverse instantly --- Those rushing into safe-haven assets probably haven't thought about how to get out... --- Watching gold rise, I know how panicked the market is. Is this panic justified? --- Money really isn't idle, just waiting to see who will run the last lap

View OriginalReply0

faded_wojak.eth

· 01-12 01:54

Gold has really gone crazy this time. Every time there's a geopolitical incident, everyone rushes to buy in. It's a bit too obvious.

View OriginalReply0

4am_degen

· 01-12 01:54

Here we go again, every time there's a slight movement, everyone rushes to gold. I can almost recite this routine. Geopolitical situations don't last long in the market; let's keep an eye on the Federal Reserve. This wave can last a few days at most; if an upgrade was really imminent, it would have happened already.

View OriginalReply0

WenMoon

· 01-12 01:54

Geopolitical tensions move, and gold takes off. This logic has really been overplayed. Once again, safe-haven assets are going crazy. When will it be tech stocks' turn? How long can this wave last? Honestly, no one knows, but there's definitely a lot of money following the trend. Will the Iran situation really escalate? It seems like public opinion is moving faster than the actual danger. Is a ten-dollar move in gold considered a big explosion? I don't see anything special about it; Bitcoin's volatility is actually more significant.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeNightmare

· 01-12 01:49

Once the geopolitical card is played, gold goes crazy. This trick has been played out. Safe-haven assets are really just ATMs for political games. How long this can last depends on how many more rounds of testing between the US and Iran. Money just flows into safe havens, no real logic, just fear. Silver's 1% increase is a bit unimpressive; gold is the real big player. If Iran truly escalates, I wouldn't be surprised if gold directly breaks its all-time high. The key is that no one can predict politics, so there's always a reason to go long on safe-haven assets.

View OriginalReply0

BlockchainDecoder

· 01-12 01:43

According to research, the phenomenon of geopolitical premiums has been systematically studied as early as the Cold War era. It is worth noting that the "safe-haven attribute" of gold is essentially a self-fulfilling mechanism driven by market psychological expectations—not that gold itself has any magical properties, but that participants' consensus creates this premium. From a technical perspective, the sustainability of this trend depends on the asymmetry of information flow. Once clear political signals emerge regarding Iran, the safe-haven premium will quickly diminish. In summary, the short-term bullish sentiment is driven by emotion, while the mid-term key still depends on the specific actions and pace of the United States. Data shows that after each geopolitical event, the average holding period for gold is about 2-3 weeks. Exceeding this window often leads to profit-taking. This judgment is based on three factors: the strength of Iran's response, the level of EU involvement, and the stance of the Federal Reserve. Any reversal in these three variables will require re-pricing safe-haven assets. Quoting from the book "Microstructure of Financial Markets," market money always flows to the areas of highest uncertainty, but once certainty appears, money moves faster than anyone. By the way, have those buying gold now ever thought about what happens if negotiations suddenly reach an agreement? That is the most critical risk.

View OriginalReply0

SelfRugger

· 01-12 01:38

Geopolitical tensions are rising, and gold is soaring. This routine is so familiar. Safe-haven assets are in demand; it all depends on how long Iran will keep causing trouble. Another wave of leek-cutting opportunity? Or is there really a chance? How long can this market sustain? Honestly, it's a bit uncertain. All the money is piling into gold, feeling a bit like speculation. Geopolitical risks turning into an ATM? Capital really knows how to play. Will this be another false alarm this time? Safe-haven assets are easy to rise, but they fall even faster. Don't get caught. When will Iran finally settle down? It's really exhausting.

View OriginalReply0

TokenToaster

· 01-12 01:33

Here we go again. Every time there's a little movement, they play the safe-haven game. Gold is about to be chopped up by another wave of retail investors.

View OriginalReply0