2026-01-12 01:22:42

The weekend was spent in continuous learning, with hardly any breaks. However, the focus of the crypto world is quite clear—the impact of escalating geopolitical tensions on the market.

A series of actions by the US have caught traders' attention. The likelihood of escalation in Iran is increasing, while in Venezuela, negotiations regarding oil trade are underway. The US embassy has already advised citizens to evacuate Venezuela, and adjustments to the oil supply chain seem to be in progress. Events like these have historically triggered intense market volatility—remember the similar events last week? Bitcoin experienced a slight increase at that time, as the market was digesting this information.

Looking at Bitcoin's chart, the turnover rate on Sunday dropped to its lowest in recent months, reflecting that, in the absence of institutional and quantitative fund interference, retail participation is not very high. In terms of chip distribution, investors at high levels of loss still hold relatively large positions, with no signs of panic selling, indicating that market sentiment remains fairly stable.

The key is the subsequent reaction. After US stock futures open, Asian investors will be the first to signal market sentiment, and only by observing the performance during the European and American sessions can the true direction be determined. Currently, the question remains: will Bitcoin establish a bottom again at $90,000, or will it continue to rebound from the support level around $83,000? This detail is very important. The market's true trend still needs to be observed, but based on chip distribution and position stability, the possibility of a significant decline is relatively limited.

BTC2,18%

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NFTArchaeologist

· 19h ago

With such a low turnover rate, are retail investors all hiding? Smart money is probably waiting for institutional moves. This wave of geopolitical tension feels like just another hype, as it always has been in history. 90k or 83k, honestly I can't tell. Just waiting for signals from the Asian markets. Stable chips ≠ stable market. Don't be fooled. What should I learn over the weekend? Better to watch the market more. Iran has really escalated; only then will the crypto market react. Right now, it's all just on paper. Are those still holding at a loss from high positions? That's the real risk—sooner or later, they'll dump. Institutions are quiet, and I am too. Let's wait and see. Position stability is true, but that doesn't mean there won't be a crash next week. The key is the US stock futures; everything else is pointless.

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Rugpull幸存者

· 01-12 01:51

It's the usual geopolitical situation again, sounds nice but it still feels like retail investors are being cut like chives. With such a low turnover rate, how can the Asian market be saved? Watching closely. Whether it's 90k or 83k, I haven't fully bought in yet, so I'm a bit anxious.

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ZenMiner

· 01-12 01:51

Geopolitics is indeed easy to exaggerate, retail panic is the institution's meal ticket. The low turnover rate is actually more comfortable, at least no one is recklessly dumping. Whether it's 90k or 83k, it all depends on how US stock futures move. After learning so much over the weekend, everyone is tired. The crypto circle still follows the same logic. Stable chips sound good, but when it really comes to smashing, it's still the same miserable scene. Not reducing holdings doesn't necessarily mean confidence; more likely, it's because the losses are too deep to cut. This critical position at 90,000 makes the gambler's mentality kick in. The rise in geopolitical tensions is a bit exaggerated; these days, anything can be linked to the crypto price. Low retail participation actually indicates that everyone is confused. This kind of situation really tests patience; we miners are just waiting. No abnormality in chip distribution is good news, but don't put too much faith in these charts and analyses. The support level at 83k is a bit shaky; once broken, it might head straight to 75k.

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TokenomicsShaman

· 01-12 01:51

Geopolitical operations are truly the eternal unbreakable theme in the crypto world. With retail participation so low, it feels more like waiting for institutions to make their move. 90k or 83k... Speaking of which, with such a low turnover rate, isn't it easier to manipulate the market? Losses still hold on tightly to their chips—are they truly calm or just numb? Asian boys will reveal their true colors at tomorrow's opening; right now, it's all guesswork. The Venezuela withdrawal matter feels more exciting than the price movements. Is it bottoming out or rebounding? Honestly, who can say for sure now? Haha

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MemeCoinSavant

· 01-12 01:37

so basically you're telling me turnover hits the floor and we're supposed to believe retail isn't fading lmao... the copium on "stable market sentiment" when bags are still heavy is peak cope energy ngl

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SchrödingersNode

· 01-12 01:29

Geopolitical hype is back again. Can it crash the market this time? I don't think so. The turnover rate is so low... retail investors are really scared. Feels like they're still waiting for signals from the Asian session. Anyway, I’m not chasing highs anymore. Where’s the promised 90k breakdown? It’s just bouncing around 83k again. So annoying. Stable chips ≠ stable market. Don’t be fooled by that nonsense. Studying over the weekend? I’m just sleeping and checking the order book. Oil chain heating up > crypto prices rising? The logic is reversed. What does stable open interest indicate... big players have already jumped in. Institutions aren’t moving, retail investors have no chance. How is this market going to play out? No, with the geopolitical situation heating up, crypto prices should be jumping. Why are they so calm?

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