The US government shutdown crisis reemerges—if the deadline of January 30th cannot be突破, it will mean the federal government will be forced to shut down. Currently, the negotiation atmosphere in Washington is becoming increasingly tense, and the disagreements between both sides remain difficult to bridge.

If a shutdown actually occurs, the consequences are not simple. First, federal agencies will fall into paralysis, and many routine operations will be directly suspended; secondly, payments amounting to millions will be delayed, and the funds owed will not reach accounts on time; most critically, important economic data such as GDP and unemployment rate will cease to be updated, and the market will lose key informational guidance.

Historically, whenever news of a government shutdown emerges, US stocks and the dollar tend to experience significant fluctuations. Investors’ risk appetite sharply declines, and market risk aversion quickly intensifies. This uncertainty also directly impacts crypto assets—sometimes attracting capital as safe-haven assets, other times facing sell-offs due to risk aversion.

Honestly, even if the government departments narrowly pass the crisis at the last moment, this repeated political game alone is enough to undermine market confidence. Policy uncertainty combined with a data blackout period makes volatility almost inevitable. As a highly sensitive asset class to macro risks, the crypto market’s performance at that time warrants close attention.

What do you think about this risk? Is it a real threat or just routine political tug-of-war? Feel free to share your views.