2026-01-11 15:20:32

#密码资产动态追踪 The market signals have been quite interesting in recent days. Huatai Securities provided a forecast — the Federal Reserve may not resume rate cuts until between January and May, with the specific pace depending on how the new chair handles things. They estimate there is still room for 1 to 2 more adjustments. This is quite important for overall market expectation management.

On the large holder side, Bitdeer sold 137.9 BTC this week, bringing their total holdings down to 1990.9 BTC. Additionally, the outflow of coins from multiple exchanges over the past week has been quite noticeable — CEXs have seen outflows of 6317.80 BTC and 59,000 ETH. Such a scale of outflow reflects that many market participants are shifting towards self-custody.

Sentiment-wise, there is a positive sign: the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission removed cryptocurrencies from the risk priority list for 2026, and CZ shared this news on social media. Meanwhile, CZ also mentioned that a super cycle is coming soon, though he admitted that his judgment might be biased. This honest attitude is worth pondering.

From a technical perspective, $BTC and $ETH have entered consolidation zones after testing the middle Bollinger Band on the daily chart. On the 4-hour chart, they have already broken below the middle band, and the MACD is about to form a bullish crossover at the bottom, indicating potential for a rebound. The 1-hour indicators are relatively stable, with trading activity currently not very high.

Reference data:
Bitcoin support levels are around 90300, 89500, 88600; resistance levels are around 91500, 92000.
Ethereum support levels are around 3060, 3010, 2960; resistance levels are around 3150, 3200.

BTC1,03%

ETH-0,07%

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WalletDetective

· 2h ago

Large traders are selling off so aggressively, could they have some inside information? Anyway, I can't quite understand CZ's moves... Saying it's a super cycle and then saying there might be some bias in the judgment, is he just leaving himself an escape route or is he really unsure? --- CEX outflows of so many coins, the shift towards self-custody is indeed significant, feels like the market is quietly accumulating. --- Wait, the Federal Reserve only cut interest rates from May to January? How are we supposed to play during this period? It's really testing patience. --- Can the 90300 support hold? Feels a bit shaky. --- MACD is about to form a golden cross, sounds like a prelude to a rebound, but with such low trading activity, it's uncertain. --- CZ removing the risk list is definitely a positive, but whether that positive will materialize depends on what happens next. --- Bitdeer sold 137.9 BTC, that's quite a large amount. Is there some insider information? --- How to break through the consolidation range? Do we need more capital inflow, or should we just wait for time to pass?

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OnchainHolmes

· 7h ago

Large investors fleeing this wave is indeed interesting. When Bitdeer dumped BTC, did they know something... Over 6,000 coins flowed out of exchanges, and this pace feels like they are gearing up for something. Looking at CZ's attitude, he dares to admit that his judgment might be biased. That's much more honest than a bunch of people hyping up a super cycle. By the way, interest rate cuts won't happen until next year, so we need to carefully grind through this period.

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0xTherapist

· 01-11 15:50

Bitdeer is offloading, it seems that big players are also starting to get nervous. However, the fact that CEX is flowing out so many coins is quite interesting—self-custody advocates are indeed increasing. Wait, CZ said the super cycle is coming, and he even mentioned that his judgment might be biased, isn't he just leaving himself an escape route? Haha. SEC removed crypto, which is indeed a positive signal, but let's just leave it at that. It feels a bit overhyped.

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LiquiditySurfer

· 01-11 15:50

CEX withdrew over 6,000 BTC, this scale is quite intense. Are they really moving towards self-custody? Or is it another washout signal? We'll have to see if they can break through the 91,500 level later.

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BearMarketBarber

· 01-11 15:47

The big players are dumping the market, and this wave of outflow data is quite intense... Feels like they genuinely want to support the market or are just digging a trap. Bitdeer sold off 137 BTC, this rhythm is indeed deliberate. But is it true that the SEC removed crypto from the risk list? This, combined with CZ's hype about the super cycle, is a bit too perfect. The MACD is bottoming out with a golden cross; to put it nicely, it means a rebound is coming, but to be blunt, it's still on the edge of breaking down... Let's see if 89,500 can hold.

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RektRecovery

· 01-11 15:46

sec removing crypto from 2026 risk list is classic security theater honestly... they'll just add it back under a different name when the next disaster drops. predictable vulnerability in regulatory theater, watched this exact pattern play out three times already.

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RetroHodler91

· 01-11 15:29

Big whales are fleeing, small investors are still buying in. This show is getting a bit tiring to watch.

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LiquidationTherapist

· 01-11 15:21

Whales are running, and this time it might really be a bit different... But I believe CZ's "possible deviation," and we've called the super cycle several times.

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