In 2026, not long after its launch, various predictions about Bitcoin's price flooded the market. Honestly, when looking at these numbers, it always feels like the market is running a marathon—not a get-rich-quick scheme, but clues drawn from on-chain data and insights from professional analysts. Today, let's discuss the logic behind these predictions.

Recently, I compiled many analysts' viewpoints, which indeed span a wide range. Conservative estimates suggest a possible retracement below 30k, though such views are less common. However, bullish voices are more prevalent—some based on power-law models predict a range of 71k-349k by the end of the year, with fair value estimated at 155k-211k; others are more aggressive, targeting 240k-300k, optimistic about a fifth wave parabolic rise. Mainstream institutional reports tend to be more pragmatic, with common fluctuation ranges between 80k-140k. Looking quarterly, Q1 might oscillate between 124k-150k, mainly influenced by regulatory policies and institutional ETF inflows; some analysts believe Q1 will hover around 110k-120k, but there is a significant risk of a correction in Q3.

Currently, BTC prices are stable between 90k-94k, with slight increases over the weekend due to low unemployment data. Institutional ETF inflows continue, and discussions around the CLARITY Act have added some confidence to the market. But don’t forget, unlocking pressures and Federal Reserve interest rate policies can also cause volatility.

From a technical and macro perspective, this looks more like a rational game rather than pure gambling. The bear market lows might be around 51k, and if the bull market continues, 235k+ is entirely within a reasonable range—ultimately, it depends on the global liquidity environment. Data in the crypto market doesn’t lie; as long as you learn to interpret it correctly.