2026-01-11 05:27:21

Thoughts on holding periods. There's a rather sobering perspective: many people actually don't know where they should be heading.

From a fundamental perspective, if you believe that important milestones will be reached within 4-6 weeks, then during this warming-up window, you should continue to hold. The strategy is actually quite simple—when expectations gradually heat up, market sentiment will push prices higher; once expectations are actually fulfilled, it's time to exit. This is usually accompanied by a significant upward trend.

The core logic is this: you buy expectations, and sell facts. The difference lies in whether you can distinguish these two timing points. The moment expectations are realized, a large bullish candle often follows. Many people get stuck here—uncertain about when to make a move.

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SmartContractWorker

· 51m ago

To be honest, this "buy the rumor, sell the fact" sounds simple, but it's really extremely difficult to execute. I am the kind of person who gets stuck on big bullish candles, watching positive news come true but reluctant to press the sell button, only to see a quick retracement afterward.

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AirdropDreamer

· 1h ago

That's so right, I am the one who "doesn't know where to get to"... --- Run when expectations are fulfilled; this trick sounds simple but is really damn hard to do. --- I'm not the only one stuck at this big bullish candle moment, haha crying --- Buy on expectations, sell on facts. The problem is, how to judge when expectations turn into facts? --- Every time expectations heat up, I hesitate; when it actually happens, I regret not adding more... --- The logic is correct, but in execution, who isn't gambling with a mindset? --- That's heartbreaking, I often get the opposite, and even when the facts arrive, I'm still waiting for expectations to heat up. --- The key is to distinguish the timing, but in actual operation, who can precisely hit the timing? Easy to say.

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StablecoinAnxiety

· 01-11 05:57

That hits too close to home. I'm the one who gets stuck... Every time, I only realize after the fact that something has happened. I can't hold on when the temperature rises as expected, and I can't act when it actually materializes. It feels like I'm always a few seconds behind the market. The key is how to sense this moment in advance. Sometimes, information gaps block me completely. I check fundamentals and news every day, but in the end, I'm still carried away by emotions. I really don't know whether to laugh or cry.

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DegenWhisperer

· 01-11 05:57

Exactly right, it's this mental barrier... The moment expectations are fulfilled is actually when the dump happens. Most people try to chase the rally in reverse, only to get cut to pieces. I've seen too many people keep calling for a bottom when expectations haven't materialized, but once the event occurs, they hesitate, and in the end, they watch a big rally slip away helplessly.

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FOMOmonster

· 01-11 05:57

Exactly right, I'm the one stuck in that situation haha. Every time I expect to cash out but can't bring myself to sell, and as a result, I get trapped.

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JustHodlIt

· 01-11 05:56

That's correct, but the problem is that most people can't distinguish between expectations and reality at all. By the time they realize it, the price has already dropped 20%.

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StealthDeployer

· 01-11 05:29

That's true, but the reality is that most people simply can't do it. When the anticipation heats up, their hands are still trembling; when it actually pays off, they are reluctant to sell, and then they get trapped at a high level.

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