Next week, the A-shares market will open. After reviewing this week's trend, I have a few points I want to discuss with everyone.
First, let's look at the US stock market. On Friday, the Nasdaq index rose by 0.81%, with all three major indices trending upward. However, from a technical perspective, the Nasdaq is currently at the apex of a daily triangle pattern, and there is no clear direction yet. My feeling is that the probability of a short-term downward breakout seems higher. At the same time, the US dollar index recently broke through the downward pressure line on the daily chart, and the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages are showing a standard bullish alignment, indicating signs of short-term dollar strength.
Conversely, looking at the A-shares, the 16 consecutive days of gains have been quite strong. But I need to remind everyone to watch out for a pullback after the market surges next week. From a technical target perspective, this wave of rally could aim for around 4132 points in the short term. If the Shanghai Composite Index pulls back, the first support level is at 4034 points, and the second support is at the 4000 mark. I want to emphasize a detail here—after a series of bullish days, the first decline often becomes a buying opportunity, so there's no need to panic too much.
Regarding trading volume, it has already broken through 3 trillion yuan, which is a double-edged sword. On one hand, massive capital inflows mean that various hot sectors have opportunities for rotation, making market opportunities quite abundant. On the other hand, the appearance of such a large volume often signals that a short-term correction may be imminent. So, the current situation is one of both opportunity and risk. A more balanced trading strategy would be more prudent.
In terms of sector directions, the brain-computer interface and photovoltaic sectors might have some short-term trading opportunities next week. Overall, the key is to stay flexible—when opportunities and risks coexist, controlling the pace is the most important.
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0xSherlock
· 11h ago
After 16 consecutive days of gains, there's a risk of a pullback. The 3 trillion trading volume is indeed a bit suspicious.
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AirdropHuntress
· 01-11 05:50
After a massive 30 trillion, a correction follows? Through research and analysis, this rhythm actually feels a bit familiar. Historical data shows that it often happens this way... Don't be greedy, everyone.
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ShibaSunglasses
· 01-11 05:45
16 consecutive bullish days are so strong, I'm just worried that next Monday's opening will drop directly, and then it'll be another round of cutting losses.
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NotSatoshi
· 01-11 05:42
The first decline after 16 consecutive days of gains is a buying point. I've heard this logic too many times. When it really drops, it still depends on your mindset.
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LucidSleepwalker
· 01-11 05:35
16 consecutive bullish days are so strong, I'm just worried that next Monday's opening will drop straight down, and then I'll have to hear people say, "I was just a bagholder at a high level."
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LiquidationWizard
· 01-11 05:28
A massive 3 trillion really can't hold up anymore. If it breaks 4000 next week, I'm out. Don't be greedy.
Next week, the A-shares market will open. After reviewing this week's trend, I have a few points I want to discuss with everyone.
First, let's look at the US stock market. On Friday, the Nasdaq index rose by 0.81%, with all three major indices trending upward. However, from a technical perspective, the Nasdaq is currently at the apex of a daily triangle pattern, and there is no clear direction yet. My feeling is that the probability of a short-term downward breakout seems higher. At the same time, the US dollar index recently broke through the downward pressure line on the daily chart, and the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages are showing a standard bullish alignment, indicating signs of short-term dollar strength.
Conversely, looking at the A-shares, the 16 consecutive days of gains have been quite strong. But I need to remind everyone to watch out for a pullback after the market surges next week. From a technical target perspective, this wave of rally could aim for around 4132 points in the short term. If the Shanghai Composite Index pulls back, the first support level is at 4034 points, and the second support is at the 4000 mark. I want to emphasize a detail here—after a series of bullish days, the first decline often becomes a buying opportunity, so there's no need to panic too much.
Regarding trading volume, it has already broken through 3 trillion yuan, which is a double-edged sword. On one hand, massive capital inflows mean that various hot sectors have opportunities for rotation, making market opportunities quite abundant. On the other hand, the appearance of such a large volume often signals that a short-term correction may be imminent. So, the current situation is one of both opportunity and risk. A more balanced trading strategy would be more prudent.
In terms of sector directions, the brain-computer interface and photovoltaic sectors might have some short-term trading opportunities next week. Overall, the key is to stay flexible—when opportunities and risks coexist, controlling the pace is the most important.